1. Market Research
  2. > Materials
  3. > Metals Market Trends
  4. > South Africa Metals Report 2015

South Africa Metals Report 2015

  • May 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 51 pages

BMI View:
South Africa's metals industry will face the continued prospect of subdued refined metal prices, elevated energy costs, and labour unrest, limiting the industry's investment and growth prospects. Nevertheless, modest multi-year consumption growth for metals will be driven by the country's automotive, construction, and infrastructure sectors.

Following subdued economic growth in 2014, we forecast stronger metals demand fundamentals in 2015. Lower oil prices will benefit private consumption and investment, leading to our upward revision for South African real GDP growth from 2.1% to 2.5%. While automotive production is likely to remain weak in 2015 following significant production declines in 2014, we forecast stronger industry fundamentals in 2016-2019, supporting demand for steel, aluminium, and nickel. More broadly, we forecast average real GDP growth of 2.7% in 2015-2019, with the construction and infrastructure industries seeing average annual growth of 3.9% and 4.0%, respectively over the same period.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Metals Report 2015
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Metals SWOT 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Steel: Industry Headwinds To Persist .. 11
Production To See Continued Headwinds ... 12
Table: South Africa - Major Steel Plants...........................13
Consumption Growth To Outpace Production .. 14
Mixed Export Outlook . 15
Table: Steel Production and Consumption (South Africa 2011-2019)....................16
Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (South Africa 2006-2013)..................... . . 17
Aluminium: Subdued Outlook All Around . 17
Construction and Infrastructure To Support Consumption 17
Production To See Continued Headwinds ... 18
Upstream Constraints May Pose Challenge . 19
Exports and Imports To Remain Weak .. 20
Table: Aluminium Production and Consumption (South Africa 2011-2019)................... . 21
Nickel: Upstream Constraints Lead To Downstream Slowdown 21
Refined Production Hampered By Upstream Difficulties 22
Table: Refined Nickel Production and Consumption (South Africa 2011-2019).................. . 23
Regulatory Development .. 24
Carbon Tax Set For 2016 24
Regional Outperformer, But Risks Remain .. 24
Tax Regime ... 25
Table: South Africa - Political Overview...........................25
Commodities Forecast . 27
Commodity Strategy . 27
Ferrous Metals .. 27
Non-Ferrous Metals ... 31
Aluminium: Abating Tightness To Cap Prices .. 31
Copper: Continued Weakness Ahead .. 32
Lead: Prices To Firm As Year Progresses ... 33
Nickel: Prices Will Only Rise Gradually . 34
Tin: Waiting On A Deficit 35
Zinc: Modest Price Growth On Tighter Supply But Looser Demand . 36
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts...................... . . 37
Commodities Forecast .. 38
Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast.............................. 38
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months) ... 38
Long-Term Outlook 39
Production Growth Set For Slowdown ... 40
Consumption Growth To Disappoint .. 41
Downside Risks To Price Outlook . 42
Table: Steel Data and Forecasts.............................. . . 43
Competitive Landscape 44
Table: South Africa - Major Steel Production Facilities.......................44
Table: South Africa - Select Listed Metals Producers........................ . . 45
Company Profile 46
Global Company Strategy - ArcelorMittal - Q2 2015 .. 46
Company Overview 48
Company Strategy .. 48
Latest Financial Results .. 50
Company Details ... 50
Financial Data .. 50
Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data........................... . 50
Methodology .. 51
Cross Checks 51

View This Report »

Get Industry Insights. Simply.

  • Latest reports & slideshows with insights from top research analysts
  • 24 Million searchable statistics with tables, figures & datasets
  • More than 10,000 trusted sources
24/7 Customer Support

Talk to Ahmad

+1 718 618 4302

Purchase Reports From Reputable Market Research Publishers
Nickel Profile, Bar and Rod Markets in the World to 2020 - Market Size, Development, and Forecasts

Nickel Profile, Bar and Rod Markets in the World to 2020 - Market Size, Development, and Forecasts

  • $ 20469
  • Industry report
  • September 2016
  • by Global Research & Data Services

The expansion of the global nickel profile, bar and rod industry is forecast to reach 2.6% p.a. in the coming years. Between 2009 and 2015 the market increased with an average annual growth of 2.7%. Currently, ...

Unwrought Nickel Markets in the World to 2020 - Market Size, Development, and Forecasts

Unwrought Nickel Markets in the World to 2020 - Market Size, Development, and Forecasts

  • $ 20469
  • Industry report
  • September 2016
  • by Global Research & Data Services

The expansion of the global unwrought nickel industry is forecast to reach 2.7% p.a. in the coming years. Between 2009 and 2015 the market decreased with -0.3% per year. Currently, not alloyed unwrought ...

Nickel Wire Markets in the World to 2020 - Market Size, Development, and Forecasts

Nickel Wire Markets in the World to 2020 - Market Size, Development, and Forecasts

  • $ 20469
  • Industry report
  • September 2016
  • by Global Research & Data Services

The expansion of the global nickel wire industry is forecast to reach 2.6% p.a. in the coming years. Between 2009 and 2015 the market increased with an average annual growth of 2.5%. Currently, nickel ...


ref:plp2015

Reportlinker.com © Copyright 2016. All rights reserved.

ReportLinker simplifies how Analysts and Decision Makers get industry data for their business.