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  5. > Cameroon Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

Cameroon Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 88 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

- Ongoing exploration provides much-needed upside risk to Cameroon's oil reserves. The country'soffshore basins are the most prospective, with the Rio del Rey Basin to attract the most interest. In thecontext of bearish oil prices, we believe that Cameroon stands to benefit from international oil companies(IOCs) refocusing investments towards more proven and shallow-water offshore plays.

- In December 2015, Bowleven submitted the Bomono Exploitation Authorisation Application (BEAA) tothe Cameroon authorities as planned. The BEAA outlines plans to develop Bomono followingcompletion of the ongoing extended well testing programme.

- In February 2016, Victoria Oil and Gas further expanded its presence in the area by reaching anagreement with Glencore Exploration Cameroon Limited and Afex Global Limited to acquire a 75%interest in Cameroon's Matanda PSC, with AFEX retaining a 25% share. The companies plan to submita new work program to the Government of Cameroon for approval and expect to commence the firstphase of seismic data acquisition in the fourth quarter of 2016.

- We estimate oil production rose to just under 90,000b/d in 2015 and we expect production to remainclose to this level until 2020, with several small field developments offsetting the decline at maturingfields. However, new exploration and discoveries will be necessary if Cameroon is to stabilise or grow itsoutput and conserve its net export potential in the longer term.

- We maintain our current refining forecast, keeping it unchanged this quarter. There are no updates onprogress toward the Limbe refinery expansion plans. We note increasing downside risks to the projectover the coming quarters, with the government critically lacking funds due to falling oil prices.

Table Of Contents

Cameroon Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Cameroon 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Cameroon Licensing Round 14
Upstream Projects 15
Table: Cameroon Upstream Project Database 15
Upstream Production - Oil 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Oil Production (Cameroon 2014-2019) 19
Table: Oil Production (Cameroon 2020-2025) 19
Upstream Production - Gas 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Gas Production (Cameroon 2014-2019) 23
Table: Gas Production (Cameroon 2020-2025) 24
Refining 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Cameroon 2014-2019) 26
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Cameroon 2020-2025) 27
Refined Fuels Consumption 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Cameroon 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Cameroon 2020-2025) 29
Gas Consumption 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Gas Consumption (Cameroon 2014-2019) 32
Table: Gas Consumption (Cameroon 2020-2025) 32
Trade - Oil 33
Crude Oil Forecasts 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Cameroon 2014-2020) 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Cameroon 2020-2025) 35
Refined Fuels Trade Forecasts 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Cameroon 2014-2019) 36
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Cameroon 2020-2025) 37
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 37
Table: Gas Net Exports (Cameroon 2014-2019) 37
Table: Gas Net Exports (Cameroon 2020-2025) 38
Latest Updates 38
Structural Trends 38
Industry Risk/Reward Index 42
Africa - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Table: BMI Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 45
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 45
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 48
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 48
Cameroon - Risk/Reward Index 50
Market Overview 52
Cameroon Energy Market Overview 52
Regulatory Structure 52
Fiscal Regime 53
Table: Cameroon Fiscal Regime 53
Licensing Regime 53
Table: Cameroon Licensing Regime 53
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 54
Oil Refineries 54
Table: Refineries In Cameroon 54
Service Stations 54
Oil Storage Facilities 54
Oil Terminals/Ports 54
Oil Pipelines 55
LNG Terminals 55
Competitive Landscape 57
Competitive Landscape Summary 57
Table: Key Players - Cameroon Energy Sector 59
Table: Key Upstream Players 59
Table: Key Downstream Players 59
Company Profile 60
Perenco 60
Other Summaries 64
Regional Overview 72
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil 72
Table: Africa Oil and Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade 80
Glossary 81
Table: Glossary Of Terms 81
Methodology 83
Industry Forecast Methodology 83
Source 85
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 85
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 87
Table: Weighting 88

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