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France Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 103 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The overall level of investment in exploration and production in France remains weak and thistrend is unlikely to alter significantly without an end to political opposition to exploration of shale oil andgas resources. Plans to begin production of gas from coal bed methane by 2017 could provide a muchneededboost to domestic output, but uncertainty over the project continues. Though downstream marginshave benefited from cheaper oil prices, the long-term outlook for the refining sector in France, and inEurope more widely, remains largely pessimistic.

Latest Updates and Key Forecasts

- Political disputes continue to hold back exploration of shale gas and oil, which estimates suggest exist insufficient amounts in France to have a material impact on the weak existing outlook for reserves. Modest,but notable, investment continues toward development of France's coal-bed methane (CBM) deposits, buttechnical and regulatory uncertainty persists, preventing any revision of our forecasts on the back ofactivity for now.

- Downstream capacity and production will continue to fall with the 160,000b/d La Mede refinery set to beconverted to a biofuels plant from 2017. Further refinery closures are likely as the European marketcontinues to realign to competitive pressure and falling demand. Refiners will need to further specialiseto remain competitive and to adapt to the changing conditions in the European refined fuels market.

- Energy efficiency gains, a stagnant vehicle fleet and low GDP growth underpin our forecast for continueddecline in refined fuels consumption. Demand for key fuels, such as diesel, has failed to recover despitelower prices, signalling a long trend towards lower consumption.

- Strong decreases in refining capacity and refining utilisation rates have seen, and will continue to see,falling crude oil net import requirements over the forecast period. France will remain dependent uponimports of diesel, jet fuel and other products to meet domestic demand as structural imbalances persist.The fuels trade faces increased competition from rival producers in the US and elsewhere.

Table Of Contents

France Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (France 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Production - Oil 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Oil Production (France 2014-2019) 18
Table: Oil Production (France 2020-2025) 18
Upstream Production - Gas 19
Latest Updates 19
Structural Trends 19
Table: Gas Production (France 2014-2019) 22
Table: Gas Production (France 2020-2025) 22
Refining 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (France 2014-2019) 26
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (France 2020-2025) 27
Refined Fuels Consumption 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (France 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (France 2020-2025) 29
Gas Consumption 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Gas Consumption (France 2014-2019) 32
Table: Gas Consumption (France 2020-2025) 33
Trade - Oil 34
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (France 2014-2020) 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (France 2020-2025) 36
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast 36
Latest Updates 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (France 2014-2019) 38
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (France 2020-2025) 38
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 39
Latest Updates 39
Structural Trends 39
Table: Gas Net Exports (France 2014-2019) 42
Table: Gas Net Exports (France 2020-2025) 42
Industry Risk Reward Index 43
North America And Western Europe - Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: North America And Western Europe - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Upstream: North America To Maintain Lead 44
Table: North America And Western Europe - Upstream Risk/Reward Index 47
Downstream: US Widens Lead 47
Table: North America And Western Europe - Downstream Risk/Reward Index 49
France - Risk/Reward Index 50
France Upstream Index - Overview 50
France Upstream Index - Rewards 50
France Upstream Index - Risks 50
France Downstream Index - Overview 50
France Downstream Index - Rewards 51
France Downstream Index - Risks 51
Market Overview 52
France Energy Market Overview 52
Regulatory Structure 52
Main Fiscal and Licensing Terms 54
Table: France Fiscal, Licensing Regime 54
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 56
Oil Refineries 56
Table: France Oil Refineries 56
Oil Storage Facilities 56
Oil Terminals and Ports 56
LNG Terminals 57
Table: France LNG Terminals 57
Gas Storage Terminals 57
Gas Pipelines 57
Latest Gas Pipeline Developments 58
Crude Oil Pipelines 59
Refined Products Pipelines 59
Competitive Landscape 60
Competitive Landscape Summary 60
Table: Key Players - France Oil And Gas Sector 61
Table: Key Upstream Players 61
Table: Key Downstream Players 61
Company Profile 62
Total 62
Engie 68
Royal Dutch Shell 76
Other Summaries 79
Regional Overview 82
North America And Western Europe Regional Overview 82
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2013-2024 93
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2013-2024 94
Glossary 96
Table: Glossary Of Terms 96
Methodology 98
Industry Forecast Methodology 98
Source 100
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 100
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 102
Table: Weighting 103

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