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Kazakhstan and Central Asia Telecommunications Report Q2 2015

  • April 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 164 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Mobile number portability looks set to become a major trend throughout the Central Asian region, as a number of regulators look to introduce it. Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan have reached a saturation point in terms of mobile subscribers and the launch of MNP will facilitate increased competition between operators, encouraging innovative tariff plans and likely driving down ARPUs. MNP is less of a concern in Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, where organic growth prospects remain. Transitions to 3G will continue to be vital across the region and though 4G is available, it will remain too expensive for mass uptake. Government interference in the sector remains the key risk in the telecoms industry, however, and we tend to believe that this high risk outweighs the potential rewards at the time.

Key Developments

Kazakhstan's government is expected to implement the mobile number portability (MNP) service in the country by mid-2015. The service would be launched after an amendment to law on communications. A legislation to pave the way for the service is currently proceeding through parliament. The service is expected to enhance competition in the market. The scheme will be free for all subscribers throughout the country.

Table Of Contents

Kazakhstan and Central Asia Telecommunications Report Q2 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 12
Kazakhstan 12
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2012-2019) 12
Mobile 12
Fixed Line 14
Broadband 15
Kyrgyzstan 16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2012-2019) 16
Fixed Line 17
Broadband 18
Tajikistan 20
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Tajikistan 2012-2019) 20
Mobile 20
Fixed Line 21
Broadband 22
Turkmenistan 24
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2012-2019) 24
Mobile 24
Fixed Line 25
Broadband 25
Uzbekistan 27
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2012-2019) 27
Fixed Line 29
Broadband 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 30
Industry Risk Reward Index 30
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q215 35
Market Overview 37
Kazakhstan 37
Mobile 37
Table: Kazakhstan 37
Table: Kazakhstan Mobile Market, December 2014 41
Fixed Line 46
Internet/Broadband 48
Pay-TV 53
Kyrgyzstan 55
Mobile 55
Table: Kyrgyzstan In Regional Perspective 55
Mobile 55
Market Share And Net Additions 57
Table: Kyrgyzstan Mobile Market, December 2014 60
Fixed Line 66
Internet/Broadband 68
Tajikistan 72
Mobile 72
Table: Tajikistan 72
Mobile Growth 72
Market Share And Net Additions 74
Table: Tajikistan Mobile Market, December 2014 76
Usage (MOU/ARPU) 76
Fixed Line 79
Internet/Broadband 80
Turkmenistan 81
Mobile 81
Table: Turkmenistan 81
Table: Turkmenistan Mobile Market, December 2014 84
Fixed Line 90
Internet/Broadband 90
Uzbekistan 92
Table: Uzbekistan 92
Mobile 92
Table: Uzbekistan Mobile Market, December 2014 96
Fixed Line 103
Broadband 104
Regulatory Development 107
Regulatory Overview 107
Kazakhstan 107
Table: Kazakhstan - Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 107
Kyrgyzstan 110
Table: Kyrgyzstan - Regulatory Bodies And their Responsibilities 110
Tajikistan 112
Table: Tajikistan - Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 112
Turkmenistan 114
Table: Turkmenistan - Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 114
Uzbekistan 116
Table: Uzbekistan - Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 116
Competitive Landscape 119
Table: Key Players - Central Asia Telecoms Sector 119
Company Profile 120
Kazakhtelecom 120
Kyrgyztelecom 127
Tajiktelecom 131
Uzbektelecom 134
Regional Overview 138
Demographic Forecast 143
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 144
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 144
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 145
Table: Population By Age Group (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 145
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 146
Demographic Forecast 148
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kyrgyzstan 1990-2025) 149
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kyrgyzstan 1990-2025) 149
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Kyrgyzstan 1990-2025) 150
Table: Population By Age Group (Kyrgyzstan 1990-2025) 150
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kyrgyzstan 1990-2025) 151
Demographic Forecast 153
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Tajikistan 1990-2025) 154
Table: Key Population Ratios (Tajikistan 1990-2025) 154
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Tajikistan 1990-2025) 155
Table: Population By Age Group (Tajikistan 1990-2025) 155
Table: Population By Age Group % (Tajikistan 1990-2025) 156
Glossary 158
Table: Glossary Of Terms 158
Methodology 160
Industry Forecast Methodology 160
Sources 162
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 162
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 163
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 164

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