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North Africa Telecommunications Report Q2 2015

  • April 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 133 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: North Africa's telecommunications markets are on the cusp of change, with the licensing of 4G LTE services at the forefront of this change. 4G licences were auctioned and issued to the three existing players in Morocco in March 2015, while the authorities in Tunisia are fast-tracking the licensing of 4G with a view to seeing services launched commercially in 2016. LTE technology is already being deployed in Algeria, which is unexpected seeing as that country has historically lagged its neighbours. Increased state control over the three mobile operators in Algeria remains a concern, however. Libya is still left out of this development trend, with insecurity and political stability delaying a much-needed liberalisation process in the telecoms sector and weighing on investor sentiment.

Key Data

- Tunisia's fixed-line market fell below the 1mn subscriptions mark in 2014. The broadband market continued to contract, affected by falling demand for data-only 3G services as well as for ADSL connections.
- Morocco's 3G subscriptions increased by 81.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) and 18.9% q-o-q in Q414, to 8.984mn. This was equal to 20.4% of the entire mobile market, up from 11.6% a year earlier.
- Algeria's mobile market grew by 3.2% q-o-q and 14.0% y-o-y in Q414, driven by strong uptake of 3G network services.

Table Of Contents

North Africa Telecommunications Report Q2 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Algeria 12
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Algeria 2012-2019) 12
Libya 15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Libya 2012-2019) 15
Morocco 17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Morocco 2012-2019) 17
Tunisia 21
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Tunisia 2012-2019) 21
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 24
Table: Mena Q215 Risk/Reward Index 27
Market Overview 28
Algeria 28
Key Developments 28
Mobile 28
Table: Algeria - Mobile Blended ARPUs, 2012-2014 (USD) 32
3G 32
Table: 3G Market Data, November 2014 33
Mobile Operator Data 34
Table: Mobilis 34
Table: Djezzy 34
Table: Ooredoo 35
Fixed Line 36
Table: Growth Of Fixed Lines By Technology, 2005-2013 ('000) 37
Broadband 38
Government Broadband Plans 39
Libya 40
Key Developments 40
Mobile 41
Table: Libya Mobile Market, Q414 42
A Third Operator 42
Fixed Line 44
Broadband 45
Morocco 46
Key Developments 46
Mobile 47
Table: Morocco Mobile Market, Q414 49
3G 51
Mobile Operator Data 54
Table: Maroc Telecom 54
Table: Meditel 54
Table: Wana 55
Fixed Line 55
Table: Fixed-Line Market, 2013-2014 56
Broadband 58
Tunisia 61
Key Developments 61
Mobile 61
Table: Tunisia - Mobile Market, Q414 64
Mobile Operator Data 67
Table: Tunisie Telecom 67
Table: Ooredoo 68
Table: Orange Tunisia 69
Fixed Line 69
Table: Fixed-Line Market, 2012-2014 70
Broadband 70
Table: Tunisian Internet Market, 2012-2014 71
Middle East And North Africa Mobile Content - Q2 2015 73
Regulatory Development 76
Table: North African Regulatory Environment 76
Algeria 76
Table: Key Developments 78
Libya 78
Morocco 80
Table: Key Developments 81
Tunisia 81
Competitive Landscape 83
Table: Key Players - North Africa Telecoms Sector 83
Company Profile 84
Algerie Telecom 84
Maroc Telecom 88
Tunisie Telecom 92
Orascom Telecom 96
Ooredoo (Tunisiana) 99
Regional Overview 102
Demographic Forecast 107
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Algeria 1990-2025) 108
Table: Key Population Ratios (Algeria 1990-2025) 108
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Algeria 1990-2025) 109
Table: Population By Age Group (Algeria 1990-2025) 109
Table: Population By Age Group % (Algeria 1990-2025) 110
Demographic Forecast 112
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Libya 1990-2025) 113
Table: Key Population Ratios (Libya 1990-2025) 113
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Libya 1990-2025) 114
Table: Population By Age Group (Libya 1990-2025) 114
Table: Population By Age Group % (Libya 1990-2025) 115
Demographic Outlook 117
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Morocco 1990-2025) 118
Table: Key Population Ratios (Morocco 1990-2025) 118
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Morocco 1990-2025) 119
Table: Population By Age Group (Morocco 1990-2025) 119
Table: Population By Age Group % (Morocco 1990-2025) 120
Demographic Forecast 122
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Tunisia 1990-2025) 123
Table: Key Population Ratios (Tunisia 1990-2025) 123
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Tunisia 1990-2025) 124
Table: Population By Age Group (Tunisia 1990-2025) 124
Table: Population By Age Group % (Tunisia 1990-2025) 125
Glossary 127
Table: Glossary Of Terms 127
Methodology 129
Industry Forecast Methodology 129
Sources 131
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 131
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 132
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 133

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