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United States Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 201 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

- We have downgraded our US oil production forecast as continued downside pressure on oilprices restrains investment into unconventional plays. Falling oil prices, especially on the WTI contract,have begun to pressure developments in the core of the US oil industry. As efficiency gains dwindle, wenow expect the decline in shale output will outweigh gains from deepwater projects in 2016, resulting ina contraction for the year. With prices now trading below USD40/bbl, we caution that even moreprofitable 'sweet spot' areas will suffer from declines over the coming quarters.

- A further deceleration in drilling and completion activity will exacerbate the slowdown in US shale oilproduction in H116. The pullback in production will support crude prices later in the year, encouragingthe most efficient producers to resume upstream development. The strengthening of crude prices in H216will not usher in a revival of shale oil production. Producers will be under continued pressure to operateamid tight financing conditions, suggesting y-o-y growth will not return before oil prices averageUSD55-60/bbl, forecast for late 2017.

Table Of Contents

United States Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (United States 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 15
Table: US - Key Upstream Projects 15
Upstream Production - Oil 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Oil Production (United States 2014-2019) 40
Table: Oil Production (United States 2020-2025) 41
Upstream Production - Gas 41
Latest Updates 41
Structural Trends 41
Table: Gas Production (United States 2014-2019) 44
Table: Gas Production (United States 2020-2025) 44
Refining 45
Latest Updates 45
Structural Trends 45
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (United States 2014-2019) 48
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (United States 2020-2025) 49
Refined Fuels Consumption 50
Latest Updates 50
Structural Trends: 50
Table: Final Renewable Fuel Volumes 54
Table: Refined Products Consumption (United States 2014-2019) 55
Table: Refined Products Consumption (United States 2020-2025) 56
Gas Consumption 56
Latest Updates 56
Structural Trends: 56
Table: Gas Consumption (United States 2014-2019) 59
Table: Gas Consumption (United States 2020-2025) 60
Trade - Oil 60
Latest Updates 60
Structural Trends 60
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (United States 2014-2020) 62
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (United States 2020-2025) 63
Latest Updates 63
Structural Trends 63
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (United States 2014-2019) 65
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (United States 2020-2025) 65
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 65
Latest Updates 65
Structural Trends 66
Table: Gas Net Exports (United States 2014-2019) 70
Table: Gas Net Exports (United States 2020-2025) 70
Industry Risk Reward Index 71
North America And Western Europe - Risk/Reward Index 71
Table: North America And Western Europe - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 72
Upstream: North America To Maintain Lead 72
Table: North America And Western Europe - Upstream Risk/Reward Index 75
Downstream: US Widens Lead 75
Table: North America And Western Europe - Downstream Risk/Reward Index 77
Unites States - Risk/Reward Index 78
Market Overview 80
United States Energy Market Overview 80
Licensing And Regulation 80
Government Policy 83
Licensing Rounds 88
Table: Total BOEM Acreage To Be Offered 2012-2017 89
Table: 2016-2017 Lease Sale Schedule 89
International Energy Relations 91
Table: Key Upstream Players 92
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 95
Oil Refineries 95
Table: New US Refineries 97
Table: 2014 Refinery Expansions 100
Table: Refineries In the US 101
Service Stations 106
Oil Storage Facilities 107
Oil Terminals/Ports 107
Oil Pipelines 108
Table: US Crude Oil Pipelines Online/Planned, 2012-2014 109
LNG Terminals 112
Table: LNG Terminals In the US 112
Table: US LNG Export Terminal Projects 117
Gas Storage Facilities 118
Gas Pipelines 118
Table: New Natural Gas Pipelines 120
Competitive Landscape 124
Competitive Landscape Summary 124
Table: Key Upstream Players 127
Table: Key Downstream Players 127
Company Profile 128
Anadarko 128
BP America 133
Chevron 141
ConocoPhillips 148
ExxonMobil 154
Shell USA 161
Other Summaries 169
Regional Overview 180
North America And Western Europe Regional Overview 180
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2013-2024 191
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2013-2024 192
Glossary 194
Table: Glossary Of Terms 194
Methodology 196
Industry Forecast Methodology 196
Source 198
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 198
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 200
Table: Weighting 201

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