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Denmark Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 99 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We expect a partial but temporary recovery in oil and gas volumes over the medium term, assmall developments come online. Past 2019 however, production will resume to the downside. While thecountry should remain a net oil and gas exporter throughout most of our forecast period, exports willbecome increasingly thin. We note increasing downside risks to our production forecast as the start-up datefor the Hejre field is increasingly uncertain.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- Oil and gas reserves are depleting for this small mature North Sea producer and we do not expect thecountry to significantly reverse this trend. Ongoing exploration and the recent licensing round could yieldupside risk to our forecast by the end of our forecast period. However, the strong decline in oil prices andour expectation of a lower price environment over the coming years temper this upside risk.

- Total abandoned shale exploration in Denmark in August 2015 due to disappointing exploration results.We expect the low oil and gas price environment will dissuade further shale gas exploration over thecoming years.- New World Oil and Gas relinquished its licenses in both the onshore Danica Jutland Project andoffshore Danica Resources Project following the expiry of its licenses in September 2015. This isreportedly due to the company not finding a farm-in partner despite the analysis highlighting the licenses'prospectivity, significantly re-risking the licenses and finding one drillable prospect- Oil and gas production will increase slightly over the coming years as several small developments willhelp production recover. Overall, Denmark's hydrocarbon production trend clearly remains one ofdecline, with strong depletion rates at maturing fields. We note increasing downside risks to both oiland gas production due to delays on the Hejre field.- With a continuous fall in energy intensity, increased fuel efficiency and a progressive increase inrenewable energy consumption, we expect domestic oil and gas consumption will decrease throughoutour forecast period.

Table Of Contents

Denmark Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Denmark 2014-2020) 7
Latest Updates And Key Forecasts 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Companies Applying In Denmark's Seventh Licensing Round 13
Upstream Projects 16
Table: Denmark Major Upstream Projects 16
Upstream Production - Oil 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Oil Production (Denmark 2014-2019) 20
Table: Oil Production (Denmark 2020-2025) 20
Upstream Production - Gas 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Gas Production (Denmark 2014-2019) 23
Table: Gas Production (Denmark 2020-2025) 24
Refining 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Denmark 2014-2019) 27
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Denmark 2020-2025) 27
Refined Fuels Consumption 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Denmark 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Denmark 2020-2025) 29
Gas Consumption 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Gas Consumption (Denmark 2014-2019) 31
Table: Gas Consumption (Denmark 2020-2025) 31
Trade - Oil 32
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 32
Latest Updates 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2019) 34
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025) 34
Refined Fuels Forecast 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2019) 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025) 36
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 36
Latest Updates 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Gas Net Exports (Denmark 2014-2019) 38
Table: Gas Net Exports (Denmark 2020-2025) 39
Industry Risk Reward Index 40
North America And Western Europe - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 40
Table: North America And Western Europe - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 41
Upstream: North America To Maintain Lead 41
Table: North America And Western Europe - Upstream Risk/Reward Index 44
Downstream: US Widens Lead 44
Table: North America And Western Europe - Downstream Risk/Reward Index 46
Denmark - Risk/Reward Index 47
Denmark Upstream Score - Overview 47
Denmark Upstream Score - Rewards 47
Denmark Upstream Score - Risks 47
Denmark Downstream Score - Overview 48
Denmark Downstream Score - Rewards 48
Denmark Downstream Score - Risks 48
Market Overview 49
Denmark Energy Market Overview 49
Fiscal Regime 50
Table: Denmark - Upstream Tax Regime 50
Licensing Regime 50
Licensing Rounds 51
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 51
Oil Refineries 51
Table: Refineries In Denmark 52
Service Stations 52
Oil Storage Facilities 53
Oil Pipelines/Terminals 53
LNG Terminals 54
Gas Storage Facilities 54
Gas Pipelines 55
Competitive Landscape 56
Table: Key Players - Danish Oil And Gas Sector 57
Table: Key Upstream Players 57
Table: Key Downstream Players 58
Company Profile 59
DONG Energy 59
Royal Dutch Shell 67
Other Summaries 71
Regional Overview 78
North America And Western Europe Oil And Gas Regional Overview 78
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2013-2024 89
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2013-2024 90
Glossary 92
Table: Glossary Of Terms 92
Methodology 94
Industry Forecast Methodology 94
Source 96
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 96
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 98
Table: Weighting 99

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