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  5. > France Agribusiness Report Q3 2016

France Agribusiness Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 73 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Grains production will see limited growth over the next five years due to a high base from2014/15 and only moderate increases in prices, while France also faces competition from other Europeanproducers on the export market. French dairy farmers will be among the EU's outperformers due to steadyimport demand for their cheese production. French meat production will suffer from continued weakdemand from other EU countries, the traditional importers of French meat.

Key Forecasts

- Wheat production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 3.9% to 40.5mn tonnes. Our forecasts indicate onlymoderate growth due to a high base from a bumper crop in 2014/15. We believe other grains-producingcountries will compete with France to supply increasing import demand from the Middle East and NorthAfrica.

- 2016 real GDP growth: 1.4% (up from 1.2% in 2015).

- 2016 consumer price inflation: 0.6% (up from 0.0% in 2015).

- BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD67.5bn in 2015/16, a 0.9% y-o-y increase.

Table Of Contents

France Agribusiness Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 11
Dairy Outlook 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: France - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (2012-2020) 14
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (France, 2012-2020) 14
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 14
Grains Outlook 15
Latest Updates 15
Table: France - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 15
Table: Risks To Outlook 15
Structural Trends 16
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 18
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 18
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 18
Livestock Outlook 19
Latest Updates 19
Table: France - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 19
Table: Risks To Outlook 19
Structural Trends 20
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 22
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 22
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 22
Commodities Price Analysis 23
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 23
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And Bmi Forecasts 23
Featured Analysis 25
European Agriculture: The Future Of The CAP 25
Table: EU - Agricultural Self-Sufficiency Ratios 33
Table: Select Commodities - European Production and Consumption ('000 tonnes) 37
Upstream Analysis 38
Europe GM Outlook 38
Europe Machinery Outlook 44
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 48
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 50
Downstream Analysis 57
Food 57
Latest Updates 57
Structural Trends 58
Table: Food Sales (France 2013-2020) 59
Regional Overview 61
Europe Regional Overview 61
Competitive Landscape 66
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 66
Demographic Forecast 67
Table: Population Headline Indicators (France 1990-2025) 68
Table: Key Population Ratios (France 1990-2025) 68
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (France 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group (France 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group % (France 1990-2025) 70
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Sector-Specific Methodology 73

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