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  4. > Brazil Autos Report Q3 2016

Brazil Autos Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 46 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We are further revising down our vehicle sales and production forecasts for Brazil in 2016 withboth now forecast to contract 16.2% to 2.15mn and 2.06mn units, respectively. Added political uncertaintyfrom President Rousseff's possible impeachment is exacerbating the pace of negative falling businessinvestment and rising unemployment in the labour market.

Key Views

- Consumer and business deleveraging of auto loans will continue as company bankruptcies andunemployment increase alongside already high interest rates non-interest costs of credit.

- Heavy trucks remain one of the worst performing segments, given Lava Jato's effects on heavy industryand truck demand and further falls in investment sentiment.

- Exports will grow strongly from 2017 onwards as Argentina's economic recovery gathers steam andraises demand for Brazilian vehicle exports.

- Production cuts will lead to industrial actions by disgruntled OEM workers, raising risks for automakers.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Autos Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Key Views 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020) 9
Latest Developments 9
Structural Trends 9
Passenger Vehicles 25
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020) 25
Latest Developments 25
Key Players 25
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand, Units 25
Commercial Vehicles 26
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020) 26
Latest Developments 26
Key Players 27
Table: Light Commercial Vehicle Sales By Brand, Units 27
Table: Heavy Truck Sales By Brand, Units 28
Table: Bus and Coach Sales By Brand, Units 28
Motorcycles 29
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020) 29
Latest Developments 29
Key Players 30
Table: Motorcycle Sales By Brand, Units 30
Industry Risk/Reward Index 31
Investment Reflects North American Stability 31
Political Turmoil Puts Brazil On The Edge 32
Central America Most Likely Movers 32
Regional Overview 33
Industry Trend Analysis 33
Table: Latin American Autos Production Investment 33
Ford Leading The Charge In Mexico 35
Suppliers Scramble To Meet Production Starts 36
Fiat's Bullish Moves In Bearish Market 36
Brazilian Luxury Production Now In Full Swing 36
Chinese Regional Presence Increasing With JAC Investments 37
Demographic Forecast 38
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 39
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 39
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 40
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 40
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 41
Methodology 43
Industry Forecasts 43
Sector-Specific Methodology 44
Sources 44
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 45
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 46

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