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Japan Mining Report 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 45 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Japan's mining sector is small in comparison with those of other large Asia Pacific nations,with the total value of the industry amounting to just USD3.4bn, which translates as less than 0.1% of GDP.Activity is focused almost exclusively on gold mining at the Hishikari mine, which is owned and operated bySumitomo Metal Mining. At present we maintain a relatively healthy view as regards growth in goldproduction, with the company expected to expand the project in order to extend the life of the mine. Thisdevelopment may see Japan resume its role as a net gold exporter over the next few years as price levelsstabilise and begin slowly start to grow again. Aside from this, most new developments are likely tocontinue to take place overseas as companies scour the globe in search of new deposits and mining assets.

As such, we expect Japan will remain a prominent power in global mining, albeit from a distance.Key Updates And Forecasts:

- In March 2016, executives of Kobe Steel Ltd, Japan's fourth-biggest steelmaker, and the State-runJapan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corp met officials in Tehran and discussed cooperation in Iran'smine and mining industries sector. This followed the signing of a Memorandum of Understandingbetween the Japanese and Iranian governments in January with a view to fostering collaboration onmining ventures. The agreement is reported to be worth USD10bn.

- In February 2016, Sumitomo Metal Mining (SMM) increased its stake in the Morenci copper mine inArizona, US by an additional 13%, giving the company an overall 28% share in the project. SMMpurchased the take from Freeport-McMoRan, which owns the remainder of the mine

- In April, SMM said it planned to expand its global gold output to 19.3mn tonnes (mnt) during the 2016financial year, up from 18.5mnt in 2015.

- We forecast Japan's gold production grow at a steady pace during 2016-2020 to reach a little over300,000 ounces (koz) a year by the end of the period.

Table Of Contents

Japan Mining Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Japan - Mining Industry Value 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Gold: Sumitomo Targeting Further Expansion 10
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Japan 2013-2020) 10
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 14
Risk/Reward Ratings 14
Rewards 14
Industry Rewards 14
Country Rewards 14
Risks 14
Industry Risks 14
Country Risks 14
Asia Risk/Reward Index 15
Key Takeaways 15
Latest Revisions 16
Table: Asia - Mining Risk/Reward Index 17
Regulatory Development 18
Table: Political Overview 20
Competitive Landscape 21
Japan - Poor Resource Endowment, Little Competition 21
Table: Japan - Largest Metals/ Mining Companies 22
Company Profile 24
Nippon Steel and Sumitomo Metal 24
Table: Nippon Steel - Financial Data 26
Regional Overview 27
Asia Overview 27
Slowing Iron Ore Production 27
Indian Coal Consumption To Outperform 28
China and India To Lead In Outbound Investment 29
Indonesian Ban Moderation Ahead 30
Chinese Coal and Steel Sectors To Consolidate Slowly 32
Global Industry Overview 33
Global Mining: The Five Key Themes 33
Table: Key Macroeconomic Context: Behind Key Mining Trends 34
1 Crisis And Consolidation For Producers And Traders 35
2 Capex To Focus Increasingly On Innovation 36
3 Bright Spots, Despite A Sea Of Troubles 38
Table: Select Countries - Mine Production Growth Bright Spots 38
4 Government Involvement To Increase In Key Sectors 39
Table: Select Countries - Government Involvement In Mining Sector 39
5 Africa To Remain Key Destination For Chinese and Indian Outbound Investment 40
Methodology 42
Industry Forecast Methodology 42
Sources 43
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 44
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 45

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