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Summary
The Future of the Kenyan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings
- The Kenyan defense expenditure is valued at US$1.2 billion in 2016, and registered a CAGR of 5.48% during the historic period. The Kenyan defense expenditure is projected to grow at a CAGR of 11.46%, to value US$2.1 billion by 2021

- On a cumulative basis, the country is expected to invest US$8.5 billion for defense purposes, of which US$53.1 billion is earmarked for capital expenditure to fund defense procurements. The government's well-defined military modernization plans along with its efforts to counter domestic and foreign terrorist attacks, and the country's active and consistent participation in the various peacekeeping missions are expected to stimulate the expenditure over the next few years.

- The MoD is expected to invest in armored vehicles, CBRN detection equipment, helicopters and trainer aircraft

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the Kenyan defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- The Kenyan defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Kenyan defense industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porter's Five Force analysis of the Kenyan defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Kenyan defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Kenyan defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Kenyan defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table Of Contents

Future of the Kenyan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021
Table of Contents
1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Kenyan defense budget to grow at an estimated CAGR of 11.46% during 2017-2021
3.1.2. Border security, terrorist group threats, peacekeeping missions, and the need to modernize outdated defense equipment to drive Kenya's defense expenditure
3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP will remain at an average of 1.8% over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure is expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.2. Capital expenditure is anticipated to record a CAGR of 13.65% during the forecast period
3.2.3. Kenya's per capita defense expenditure is expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. The homeland security market in Kenya is expected to grow at a CAGR of 17.92% during the forecast period
3.3.2. Human trafficking and illicit drugs trade to drive homeland security expenditure
3.3.3. Kenya falls under "highly affected" category in the terrorism index
3.3.4. Kenya faces high level of threat from terrorist organizations
3.3.5. Kenya has a terrorism index score of 6.7
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Kenyan defense expenditure expected to remain low compared to leading spenders
3.4.2. Kenya will continue to remain as a small contributor in the global arms market
3.4.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase over the forecast period
3.4.4. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers
3.4.5. CBRN Detection Equipment
3.4.6. Trainer aircraft
3.4.7. Armored Vehicles
3.4.8. Helicopters
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports increased during the period 2011?2015
4.1.2. Aircraft, Missiles, and Air defense systems accounted for a total share 88.8% in Kenyan defense imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Kenya defense exports were negligible during 2011?2015
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of the supplier: high
5.1.2. Bargaining power of the buyer: low
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium to high
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: medium to high
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Kenya does not disclose any offset obligations imposed by the country
6.1.2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) is determined on a case to case basis
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Equipment manufacturers enter the market through government-to-government deals
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption and lack of transparency are the factors which hinders the growth of Kenyan defense industry
6.3.2. Low defense budget to act as obstacle for foreign investors
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.1.1. Foreign suppliers manufacture defense systems overseas and deliver to Kenya
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Kenya Ordnance Factories Corporation: overview
7.2.2. Kenya Ordnance Factories Corporation: products and services
7.2.3. Rosoboronexport: overview
7.2.4. Rosoboronexport: products
7.2.5. Rosoboronexport: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Grob Aircraft: overview
7.2.7. Grob Aircraft: products
7.2.8. Grob Aircraft: recent contract wins
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Economic Performance
8.1.1. GDP per capita at constant prices (US$)
8.1.2. GDP at current prices (US$)
8.1.3. Exports of goods and services (KES)
8.1.4. Imports of goods and services (KES)
8.1.5. Gross National disposable income (USD Bn)
8.1.6. LCU per US$ (period average)
8.1.7. Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ billion)
8.1.8. Market capitalization of listed companies (% GDP)
8.1.9. Government cash surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP (LCU)
8.1.10. Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.11. Goods Imports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.12. Services imports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.13. Services Exports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.14. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billions)
8.1.15. Net foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP
8.1.16. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Bn)
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables
Table 1: Kenyan Defense Expenditure (KES billionand US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 2: Kenyan GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2021
Table 3: Kenyan Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021
Table 4: Kenyan Defense Capital Expenditure (KES Billion and US$ Billion), 2012-2021
Table 5: Kenyan Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021
Table 6: Kenyan Homeland Security Expenditure (KES billion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 7: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
Table 8:Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
Table 9: Kenya Ordnance Factories Corporation- Product Focus
Table 10: Rosoboronexport - Recent Contract Wins
Table 11: Grob Aircraft - Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures
Figure 1: Kenyan Defense Expenditure (KES Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 2: Kenyan Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 3: Kenya GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth,2012-2021
Figure 4: Kenyan Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2012-2021
Figure 5: Kenyan Defense Capital Expenditure (KES Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 6: Kenyan Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 7: Kenyan Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021
Figure 8: Kenyan Homeland Security Expenditure (KES Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 9: Kenyan Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 10: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016
Figure 11: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015 and 2020
Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2016
Figure 15: Kenya Defense Import Trend (US$ Million), 2011-2015 (TIV values*)
Figure 16: Kenyan Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015
Figure 17: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 18: Kenya's GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2015-2025
Figure 19: Kenya's GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2025
Figure 20: Kenya's exports of goods and services (KES Billion), 2005-2014
Figure 21: Kenyan Imports of goods and services (KES Billion), 2005-2014
Figure 22: Kenya's Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Bn), 2005-2013
Figure 23: Kenya's KES per US$, 2015-2024
Figure 24: Kenya's market capitalization of listed companies (US$ billion), 2005-2012
Figure 25: Kenya's market capitalization of listed companies (%GDP), 2005-2012
Figure 26: Kenya? Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (KES), 2005-2012
Figure 27: Kenya? Goods exports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
Figure 28: Kenya? Goods imports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
Figure 29: Kenya? Services imports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
Figure 30: Kenya? Services exports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
Figure 31: Kenya? Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billion), 2005-2012
Figure 32: Kenya's Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2005-2014
Figure 33: Kenya's Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Bn), 2005-2014

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