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  4. > Turkey Commercial Banking Report Q2 2016

Turkey Commercial Banking Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 84 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Commercial Banking Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, January 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: Turkey - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 19
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 24
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 24
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 25
Market Overview 26
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook 26
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 26
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 27
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 28
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 29
Economic Analysis 30
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 38
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 38
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 39
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 40
Table: Net Exports Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 40
Competitive Landscape 41
Market Structure 41
Protagonists 41
Table: Protagonists In Turkey's Commercial Banking Sector 41
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 41
List Of Banks 42
Table: Locally-owned Commercial Banks In Turkey 42
Table: Foreign Bank Branches 42
Company Profile 43
Akbank 43
Table: Stock Market Indicators 45
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) 45
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 45
Table: Key Ratios (%) 46
Halkbank 47
Table: Stock Market Indicators 49
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) 49
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 49
Table: Key Ratios (%) 50
Türkiye Garanti Bankas? 51
Table: Stock Market Indicators 52
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) 52
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 53
Table: Key Ratios (%) 53
Türkiye Is Bankasi 54
Table: Stock Market Indicators 56
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) 56
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 56
Table: Key Ratios (%) 57
Türkiye Vak?flar Bankas? 58
Table: Stock Market Indicators 60
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) 60
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 60
Table: Key Ratio (%) 61
Regional Overview 62
Emerging Europe Overview 62
Global Industry Overview 68
Global Commercial Banking Overview 68
Regional Outlooks 68
Demographic Forecast 75
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025) 76
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025) 76
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025) 77
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025) 77
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025) 78
Methodology 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Sector-Specific Methodology 81
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 82
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 83
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 84

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