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  4. > Turkey Commercial Banking Report Q2 2015

Turkey Commercial Banking Report Q2 2015

  • April 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 81 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updatesBMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Commercial Banking Report Q2 2015
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, January 2015 . . 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2014-2019 (%) . . 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 73 Countries Reviewed In 2015 . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2012-2019 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking .. 9
Political . 11
Economic ... 13
Operational Risk SWOT 14
Industry Forecast .. 17
Industry Risk Reward Index . 25
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . 25
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . . 26
Market Overview ... 27
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook 27
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 . 27
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2015 . 28
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 29
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2015 . . 30
Economic Analysis ... 31
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Turkey 2011-2018) 38
Competitive Landscape 39
Market Structure . 39
Protagonists .. 39
Table: Protagonists In Turkey's Commercial Banking Sector . . 39
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe . 39
List Of Banks . 40
Table: Locally-owned Commercial Banks In Turkey 40
Table: Foreign Bank Branches . 40
Company Profile 41
Akbank .. 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 44
Halkbank ... 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 47
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) . 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 48
Türkiye Garanti Bankas? ... 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 50
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) . 50
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 51
Türkiye Is Bankasi ... 52
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 54
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) . 54
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 54
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 55
Türkiye Vak?flar Bankas? ... 56
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 58
Table: Balance Sheet (TRYmn) . 58
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 58
Table: Key Ratio (%) . . 59
Regional Overview 60
Emerging Europe Overview ... 60
Global Industry Overview .. 65
Global Commercial Banking Outlook .. 65
EM External Corporate Debt A Potential Risk To Financial Stability ... 65
Eurozone and US Banking Outlooks .. 67
Emerging Market Regional Outlooks . 67
Demographic Forecast . 72
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025) . 73
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025) . 73
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025) 74
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025) . 74
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025) . 75
Methodology .. 77
Industry Forecast Methodology 77
Sector-Specific Methodology 78
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 79
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Rating Indicators 80
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 81

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