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  5. > Australia Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

Australia Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 88 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Australia is on course to overtake Qatar to become the largest exporter of LNG by 2019, as theaddition of new production trains at existing facilities and the commencement of several new ones over thenext few years lead a strong upsurge in export volumes. In contrast, it will become increasingly dependenton refined fuels imports as insufficient refining capacity will not be matched by rising demand.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Australia's oil and gas sector are:

- The second Gladstone LNG train started production in May 2016, with additional train at the APLNGalso expected to follow suit before the end of the year.

- A further three LNG projects are set to come online over the next two to three years, helping Australia'sLNG exports to surpass that of Qatar by 2019, seeing the country to become the largest supplier of thefuel in the world.

- While we see limited scope for large-scale refining capacity additions in the coming years, small-scaleprojects targeting provincial fuel distribution opportunities will provide a small boost to total refiningcapacity over the coming years. One such example is ExxonMobil's proposed expansion of its Altonarefinery in Victoria by 10,000b/d.

- Limited domestic gas pipeline connectivity and stringent CBM development regulations remain persistentconcerns as the heavy volume of gas supplies tied to export projects increase the risk of a domestic gasshortage.

Table Of Contents

Australia Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Australia 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Recoverable Shale Oil And Gas 12
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Australia 2014-2019) 15
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Australia 2020-2025) 15
Upstream Projects 16
Table: Australia - Key Upstream Projects 16
Upstream Production - Oil 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Oil Production (Australia 2014-2019) 28
Table: Oil Production (Australia 2020-2025) 29
Upstream Production - Gas 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Gas Production (Australia 2014-2019) 32
Table: Gas Production (Australia 2020-2025) 33
Refining 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Australia 2014-2019) 35
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Australia 2020-2025) 35
Refined Fuels Consumption 36
Latest Updates 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Australia 2014-2019) 38
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Australia 2020-2025) 38
Gas Consumption 39
Latest Updates 39
Structural Trends 39
Table: Gas Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 42
Table: Gas Consumption (Australia 2020-2025) 43
Trade - Oil 43
Crude Oil 43
Latest Updates 43
Structural Trends 43
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Australia 2014-2019) 45
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Australia 2020-2025) 46
Refined Fuels 46
Latest Updates 46
Structural Trends 46
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Australia 2014-2019) 48
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Australia 2020-2025) 49
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 49
Latest Updates 49
Structural Trends 49
Table: Gas Net Exports (Australia 2014-2019) 51
Table: Gas Net Exports (Australia 2020-2025) 51
Industry Risk Reward Index 52
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 52
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 53
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Production Cuts Reinforce Bearish Outlook 54
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 55
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Refinery Developments Lift Scores For Malaysia And The Philippines 56
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 57
Australia - Risk/Reward Index 58
Upstream Index - Overview 58
Upstream Index - Rewards 58
Upstream Index - Risks 58
Downstream Index - Overview 59
Market Overview 60
Australia Energy Market Overview 60
Regulatory Regime 60
Fiscal Regime 62
Table: Key Fiscal Indicators 62
Licensing Rounds 62
Table: 2015 Petroleum Acreage Release 62
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 65
Table: Oil Refineries 65
LNG Terminals 65
Table: LNG Terminals In Australia 65
Competitive Landscape 67
Table: Australian Refining Capacity By Player 68
Company Profile 69
Santos 69
Latest Updates 69
Table: Major Current Assets 70
Table: Santos Limited - Key Financial Data 70
Woodside Petroleum 71
Latest Updates 71
Table: Major Current Assets 72
Table: Woodside Petroleum - Key Financial Data 72
Regional Overview 73
Asia Regional Overview 73
Glossary 81
Table: Glossary Of Terms 81
Methodology 83
Industry Forecast Methodology 83
Source 85
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 85
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 87
Table: Weighting 88

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