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Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 75 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Although current and ongoing investments are certainly helping to improve the country's fixedbroadband infrastructure, geographical barriers due to Indonesia's archipelagic nature and high rolloutcosts will pose downside risks to the government's plans to develop the country's fixed broadbandinfrastructure. By engaging in 4G network and infrastructure sharing arrangements, Indonesia's mobilenetworks operators will benefit from efficiencies that will not only boost LTE rollout speeds, but also helpthe operators reduce costs. The proliferation of 4G mobile connections could have a dampening effect ondemand for fixed broadband services. Having said this however, we envisage downside risks to 4G serviceuptake, as the new minimum local content requirements on LTE-enabled devices could have the effect ofincreasing production costs and, consequently, the price of smartphones.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- Total subscriptions in the mobile sector grew to 323.8mn at the end of 2015, for a penetration of125.7%. Amid market saturation, mobile operators will aim to reverse downward trending ARPUs bymigrating subscribers on to postpaid plans and higher-value services.

- Fixed broadband subscribers will grow by 16.9% in 2016 to reach 9.00mn, and this number isexpected to rise to 15.76mn in 2020. However, penetration will still remain low at 5.8% as costs andtopological factors limit expansion speed.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 16
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q316 18
Indonesia Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers and Trends 21
Mobile 22
Table: Indonesia Prepaid And Postpaid ARPU By Operator (IDR) 26
Wireline Voice and Broadband 28
Table: Telkom Key Submarine Cable Developments 32
Pay TV 32
Regulatory Development 34
Regulatory Overview 34
Table: Division Of Regulatory Responsibilities In Canada 34
Regulatory Developments 35
Competitive Landscape 38
Table: Key Operator Revenues (USDmn) 38
Table: Spectrum Holdings For Top 5 Cellular Operators, 2015 38
Table: Mobile Market Overview 38
Table: Indonesian Mobile Operator Minutes Of Use (MOU per Subscriber) 39
Table: Telkomsel 39
Table: Indosat 40
Table: XL Axiata 41
Company Profile 44
Indosat 44
Telkom 49
Telkomsel 55
XL Axiata 59
Demographic Forecast 64
Demographic Outlook 64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025) 65
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025) 65
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025) 67
Glossary 69
Table: Glossary Of Terms 69
Methodology 71
Industry Forecast Methodology 71
Sources 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 73
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 74
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 75

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