Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q3 2014

  • May 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 102 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

With increasing saturation of the mobile market and declining voice revenues, we expect Indonesia's largest telecoms service to focus next generation fixed and mobile data networks. This fixed network market is witnessing considerable investments in fibre optic network infrastructure, a development that should drive the uptake of high-value converged services, including IPTV. We also believe that the country's mobile operators will accelerate their tower outsourcing and managed services strategies in order to reduce operating costs considering their weak bottom line performances during FY13.

Key Data

- The mobile sector grew by 14.6% y-o-y in FY13 to bring the penetration rate to 129.3%.
- The fixed-line sector contracted by 2.5% y-o-y in FY13, compared to a contraction of 1.6% in FY12.
- Mobile ARPUs continued their trend in 2013, with market weighted average blended ARPU falling by 5% for the year.
- We have included estimates for broadband access through dedicated mobile data devices, boosting our historical data and forecast.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Mobile SWOT 9
Wireline SWOT 11
Political 13
Economic 15
Business Environment 17
Industry Forecast 18
Mobile 18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data and Forecasts (Indonesia 2011-2018) 18
ARPU 19
Wireline 20
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data and Forecasts (Indonesia 2011-2018) 20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 22
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Ratings - Q3 2014 25
Market Overview 27
Mobile 27
Regional Perspective 27
Table: Indonesia Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2013 28
Key Developments 28
Market Growth 29
Market Shares 29
Usage 31
Table: Indonesia Prepaid And Postpaid ARPU By Operator (IDR) 32
Table: Indonesian Mobile Operator Minutes Of Use 33
Networks 33
Table: 2.1GHz WCDMA Spectrum Allocation 36
Mobile Content 37
Mobile Broadband 38
Mobile Operator Data 40
Table: Market Overview 40
Table: Telkomsel 40
Table: Indosat 41
Table: XL Asista 43
Table: Bakrie Telecom (Fixed wireless) 44
Asia Pacific Mobile Content 46
Tablets Are The New TV 47
Table: Percentage Of Long-Form Video Views By Device 50
Infrastructure Is A Key Enabler 50
Wireline 52
Fixed Line 52
Table: Telkom Key Fixed-Line Network Developments 53
Broadband 54
Fixed Wireless 54
Industry Trends And Developments 58
Table: Market Developments 59
Regulatory Development 62
Regulatory Overview 62
Table: Indonesia: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities 63
Competitive Landscape 65
Table: Indonesia Telecoms Sector Key Players 65
Table: Key Operator Revenues (US$mn) 65
Company Profile 66
Telkom 66
Telkomsel 71
Indosat 76
XL Axiata 82
Regional Overview 86
Industry Trend Analysis 86
Table: Strategies Of Asian Top Chat Apps 87
Demographic Forecast 92
Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 93
Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 94
Table: Indonesia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 95
Table: Indonesia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 95
Glossary 96
Table: Glossary Of Terms 96
Methodology 98
Industry Forecast Methodology 98
Sources 99
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 100
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators 101
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 102

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