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  5. > Russia Agribusiness Report Q3 2016

Russia Agribusiness Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Russia's poultry and pork sectors will perform strongly as consumer demand is growing anddomestic production is looking to bridge the gap left by EU imports, which will not resume until H216.Wheat will outperform the grains complex out to 2020 due to elevated farmgate prices in rouble terms andstrong opportunities on the domestic and export markets, which will maintain production incentives. TheRussian dairy sector will benefit from growth momentum until 2017 due to the EU embargo. In particular,cheese production will see solid gains in a bid to gain market share. Afterwards, dairy producers will facelower subsidies and lower prices, which will lay the foundations for consolidation in the industry.

Key Forecasts

-Wheat production growth in 2016/17: 1.6% y-o-y to 62.0mn tonnes. We maintain our 2016/17 wheatproduction forecast at 62.0mn tonnes. Higher winter wheat acreage and warm weather over Q415-Q116underpin our bullish view on the 2016/17 harvest.

Table Of Contents

Russia Agribusiness Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 11
Rice Outlook 11
Table: Russia - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Russia 2012-2020) 13
Dairy Outlook 13
Latest Updates 13
Table: Russia - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 14
Table: Risks To Outlook 14
Structural Trends 15
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption 17
Livestock Outlook 18
Latest Updates 18
Table: Russia - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 19
Table: Risks To Outlook 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Russia Livestock Production and Consumption 22
Grains Outlook 22
Latest Updates 22
Table: Russia - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Risks To Outlook 23
Structural Trends 24
Table: Russia Grains Production and Consumption 25
Commodities Forecast 26
Global Commodities Strategy 26
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 26
Upstream Analysis 28
Europe GM Outlook 28
Europe Machinery Outlook 34
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 38
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 40
Downstream Analysis 47
Food 47
Latest Updates 47
Structural Trends 48
Table: Food Sales (Russia 2013-2020) 48
Regional Overview 51
Europe Regional Overview 51
Competitive Landscape 56
Table: Main Agribusiness Companies 56
Demographic Forecast 57
Demographic Outlook 57
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025) 58
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025) 58
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025) 60
Methodology 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Sector-Specific Methodology 63

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