Egypt Petrochemicals Report Q3 2015

  • May 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 68 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Egypt is set to become one of the fastest growing petrochemicals markets in the Middle Eastand North Africa region as it continues its recovery following a turbulent economic and political period,according to BMI's latest Egypt Petrochemicals Report.The main generator of petrochemicals consumption will be export-oriented industries, such as theautomotive sector which consumes an array of polymers and synthetic rubbers and is set for a strongrecovery.
In the domestic market, construction will take the lead as fixed investment in infrastructure risesand residential construction is stimulated.

Capacity is due to ramp up in 2015 with Egyptian Ethylene and Derivatives Company(Ethydco) planning to commission an olefins facility with capacities of 460,000 tonnes per annum (tpa)ethylene and 20,000tpa butadiene, which should feed the ENPPI PE plant.
Sidpec already operates thecountry's only ethylene plant, a 300,000tpa cracker at El Ameriya, which feeds its LLDPE and HDPEunits.

Table Of Contents

Egypt Petrochemicals Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View ....... 7
SWOT .... 8
Political . 10
Economic ....... 11
Operational Risk ..... 13
Industry Forecast ...... 15
Consumption . 15
Production .... 16
Table: Egypt's Petrochemicals Capacity, 2011-2019 . . 17
Macroeconomic Forecasts ....... 18
Expenditure Breakdown .. 20
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Egypt 2012-2019) . . . . . . . 24
Industry Risk Reward Index ..... 25
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index ...... 25
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q3 2015 . . . . 29
Egypt Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index ..... 29
Market Overview ....... 30
Industry Trends And Developments 32
Upstream ...... 32
Downstream .. 33
Company Profile 38
Egyptian Petrochemicals Holding Company (EChem) .... 38
Sidpec ... 40
Regional Overview .... 42
Middle East And Africa Overview ....... 42
Tightening Ethane Supplies ...... 43
Diversification The Long-Term Focus 44
Africa Falls Behind 45
Global Industry Overview .. 47
Project Cancellation: the Impact of US Expansion and Low Oil Prices ..... 47
Outlook for 2015: Falling prices ....... 49
Medium-term outlook ...... 50
China versus the US: feedstock wars .. 51
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts .... 55
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2013-2018 . . . . 55
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2019-2024 ( Global 2019-2024) . . . . . . 56
Demographic Forecast ..... 58
Demographic Outlook ...... 58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Egypt 1990-2025) . . . . 59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Egypt 1990-2025) . . . . . . 59
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Egypt 1990-2025) . . . . . . . 60
Table: Population By Age Group (Egypt 1990-2025) . . 60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Egypt 1990-2025) . . . . . . . 61
Glossary ..... 63
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms . . . . . 63
Methodology ...... 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ....... 66
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . 67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 68

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