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  4. > Iran Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

Iran Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 74 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The lifting of sanctions will stimulate an immediate export boost for the Iranian petrochemicals industry,which has been operating well under capacity even as it has expanded in recent years. The government hasambitious plans for the sector with the hope that foreign investment will enable it to leverage its massiveupstream resources to expand basic chemicals output. However, Iran continues to face infrastructural andregulatory difficulties and a depressed market outlook. Until these are overcome, the industry will struggleto meet the target of more than doubling petrochemicals capacity to 129mn tonnes per annum (tpa) by 2021.The surge in capacity will not be sustainable if feedstock supply is not forthcoming and markets do notabsorb output. Some complexes are suffering feedstock shortages, particularly during winter months.Iranian petrochemical complexes need 30-35mn cubic metres of gas per day. Besides pressure on supply,Iranian ethane feedstock is nearly three times more expensive than in Saudi Arabia. While the plants maynominally come on stream, operation rates could be low and plants will be operating at a loss unless Iranianproducers can pass on the full costs of production onto consumers in export markets.

Table Of Contents

Iran Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: Iran's Petrochemicals Industry, 2011-2020 ('000 tpa, Unless Otherwise Stated) 20
Macroeconomic Forecasts 21
Rapid Uptick In Growth As Shackles Are Removed 21
Table: Iran - Key Economic Indicators 21
Industry Risk/Reward Index 26
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 26
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q3 2016 31
Iran Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 32
Market Overview 33
Table: Iran's Cracker Capacity, 2013-2020 ('000 tpa) 35
Industry Trends And Developments 37
Post-Sanctions Outlook 37
Upstream Developments 39
Table: Proposed Greenfield Refineries 41
Current Plans 41
Company Profile 45
National Petrochemical Company 45
Regional Overview 49
Middle East And Africa Overview 49
Global Industry Overview 57
Demographic Forecast 64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025) 65
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025) 65
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025) 67
Glossary 69
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 69
Methodology 70
Industry Forecast Methodology 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 72
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 73
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 74

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