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Kuwait Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

As part of a major overhaul of the downstream sector Kuwait is pursuing the Al-Zour project to increaserevenues through export of refined products and through investment in advanced downstream technologies.The project involves completion of the greenfield 615,000 barrels-per-day (bpd) Al-Zour refinery complexto be built in southern Kuwait, as well as upgrades at existing facilities as part of a wider downstreamreorganisation. Additionally, the firm overseeing Al-Zour's refinery will also manage a worldscalepetrochemicals facility that will utilise feed from the refinery, following a decision in Q116.The Al-Zour project was set to raise downstream refinery capacity to 1.4mn barrels per day by 2019, but itlooks set to be delayed until 2020 as costs escalate and Kuwait continues in its effort to secure financing.

In the meantime, refining capacity is set to decline as a result of consolidation within the refining sector, amove that could restrict naphtha supply to petrochemicals and raise feedstock costs.Equate represents 60% of Kuwait's non-oil exports, making it central to the growth story of the Kuwaitipetrochemicals industry. Kuwait's higher level of naphtha feedstock from the refinery sector will enable it totake full advantage of the fall in crude prices, which are the main determinant of naphtha prices. This willhelp it see off competition from ethane-based regional rivals such as Qatar and Saudi Arabia. However, thealleviation of sanctions on Iran will pose a major threat to all regional producers and could still drive downKuwaiti petrochemicals margins. There are also downside effects of a medium-term reduction in oil refinerycapacity.

Table Of Contents

Kuwait Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Latest Developments 14
Production 14
Table: Kuwait: Petrochemicals Projects 17
Consumption and Exports 17
Table: Kuwait Petrochemicals, 2012-2020f 19
Macroeconomic Forecasts 20
Economic Analysis 20
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Kuwait 2014-2025) 24
Industry Risk/Reward Index 25
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 25
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q3 2016 30
Kuwait Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 31
Market Overview 33
Industry Trends And Developments 35
Upstream 35
Refineries 36
Petrochemicals 37
Fertiliser 38
Company Profile 39
Equate Petrochemical Company 39
Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC) 42
Regional Overview 47
Middle East And Africa Overview 47
Global Industry Overview 55
Demographic Forecast 62
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kuwait 1990-2025) 63
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kuwait 1990-2025) 63
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Kuwait 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group (Kuwait 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kuwait 1990-2025) 65
Glossary 67
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 67
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 70
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 72

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