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Production and Investment Forecast of the Nickel Mining Industry in Southern Africa

  • 91 pages, published in January 2014
  • By Frost & Sullivan
  • Report Number: 2005753

Summary

Table of Contents

Increasing Global Stainless Steel Demand to Stimulate Southern Africa’s Nickel Output

Africa has significant unexploited nickel deposits due to the capital-intensive nature of nickel mining, n unfavourable investment climate, and long periods between constructing and commissioning mines. Southern Africa is the largest nickel producing region in Sub-Saharan Africa. This research provides detailed and up-to-date market intelligence on production and investment trends in the nickel mining industry in Southern Africa (2006-2018). South Africa, Botswana, and Zambia are the major producers and mainly sell to international markets in Japan, China, and India. Large-scale development projects in Madagascar and Tanzania will consolidate Southern Africa's position as a key nickel producing region in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Executive Summary

• This research service provides an up-to-date analysis of production and investment trends in Southern Africa’s nickel mining industry between 2006 and 2018.
• The African continent has significant unexploited deposits of nickel due to the capital-intensive nature of nickel mining, unfavourable investment climate, and long lead periods between the construction and commissioning of new nickel mines.
• The African continent is a relatively small producer of nickel, accounting for X% of global nickel production compared to Asia and the Americas (North and South) that accounted for Xand X%, respectively, of new nickel mine supply.
• Southern African countries namely South Africa, Botswana, and Zambia are the largest producers of nickel in Sub-Saharan Africa sold to international nickel markets in Asia and Europe.
• The Southern African region has primary nickel mines with the bulk of the region’s nickel production being produced as a secondary product to platinum group metal (PGM) processing in South Africa and copper processing in Botswana and Zimbabwe.
• Within Southern Africa, South Africa is the largest producer, supplying X tonnes and accounting for % of the region’s total nickel production in 2012.
• Botswana and Zambia produced X and X tonnes, Xand X%, respectively, of the region’s nickel production in 2012.
• Southern Africa’s nickel production is expected to continue growing between 2013 and 2018 in response to large-scale nickel expansion projects being developed in Zambia, Madagascar, and Tanzania.
• Industry challenges are specific factors that may negatively impact a company or companies in a particular industry.
• Environmental concerns, supply chain constraints, inadequate nickel refining facilities, an unreliable power supply, an unreliable transportation network, and highly unionised labour are some of the challenges that the Southern African nickel mining industry experiences.
• Nickel mining and refining pose a number of environmental challenges such as noise, dust, air, and water pollution.
• Nickel mining activities in South Africa, Zambia, and Botswana have damaged the environment by leaving behind open, un-rehabilitated pits and by disturbing existing bio-diversity systems.
• Southern Africa does not have reliable power supplies and transportation networks to facilitate uninterrupted processing and conveyance of nickel to international markets.

Market Drivers
• Market drivers are factors that will fuel continued market growth.
• Drivers for Southern Africa’s nickel mining industry include a growing global demand for stainless steel, growing application areas, and a conducive mining investment environment. In Southern Africa, and the recovery of nickel from the processing of other metals.

Market Restraints
• Market restraints are factors that restrain market growth.
• The capital intensive nature of the nickel mining industry, the substitution of nickel with other metals, a finite supply of viable nickel reserves, and skills shortages are some of the restraints that Southern Africa’s nickel mining industry is facing.

Research Aim and Objectives for Southern Africa’s Nickel Mining Industry Production and Investment Forecasts

Research Aim
The aim of this research service is to provide a comprehensive and up-to-date analysis of production and investment trends within Southern Africa’s nickel mining industry.

Research Objectives
Understand the production trends between 2006 and 2018
Provide company- and country-level production forecasts between 2006 and 2018
Understand capital expenditure trends and discuss the expansion projects between 2012 and 2016
Provide insight into the factors that drive and restrain growth

Scope of the Study

Time Frame
Historic Period: 2006–2012, details how market trends have impacted industry progression
Base Year: 2012
Forecast Period: 2013–2018, leverages historic trends and prevailing market trends to provide estimates of how the industry will progress

Geographic Scope
The study focuses on production, investment, and capital expenditure trends in Southern Africa’s nickel mining industry.
The study’s country scope will be limited to South Africa, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Zambia, Tanzania, and Madagascar.

Production Scope
This research service focuses on nickel production at country- and company-level in Southern Africa.

Expenditure Scope
This research service focuses on capital expenditure trends and expansion projects in Southern Africa.

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