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Weekly Economic Briefings > UK Weekly Economic Briefing > United Kingdom

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Oxford Economics
  • -
  • 7 pages

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Once again Brexit was the dominant theme of the week. The MPC was unexpectedly candid in arguing that Brexit would have a "material impact" on growth and inflation. This intervention has strengthened our conviction that they would cut Bank Rate to zero in the event of a vote to leave.

Far more predictable were the warnings from George Osborne and the IMF about the impact of Brexit. The most noteworthy nugget from Mr Osborne's appearance before the Treasury Select Committee was that, in the event of a vote to leave, the government intends to trigger Article 50 immediately.

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