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  5. > Saudi Arabia Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

Saudi Arabia Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 42 pages

BMI View: Saudi Arabia will increasingly be dependent on grains imports, as the country has decided tophase out domestic grains production in a bid to preserve the country's water supply. The government hasnot abandoned its strategy of self-sufficiency in poultry and has been ramping up incentives to expandproduction capacity. This strategy has paid off, as the three major producers in the sector have all startedheavy investment initiatives. We believe Saudi Arabia will find sufficient grains supply from the Black Searegion and the EU to supply its meat and food processing industry in the coming years. However, thecountry will remain highly vulnerable to volatile grains and feed prices. Recent spikes in feed prices haveturned us more cautious on margins for dairy and livestock producers in the country, especially those thatimport inputs from abroad.

Key Forecasts

- Wheat production growth to 2019/20: -93.3% to 30,000 tonnes. Wheat production will be almostcompletely phased out in the coming years and Saudi Arabia will become entirely dependent on importsfor its grain needs.

- Beef consumption growth to 2020: 14.7 to 236,500 tonnes. Beef consumption will not grow as fast aspoultry in the coming years, as beef meat remains more expensive than chicken. However, the expansionin GDP per capita and population will support a moderate increase in beef demand.

Table Of Contents

Saudi Arabia Agribusiness Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: Saudi Arabia - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Saudi Arabia - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2010-2015) 17
Livestock Outlook 18
Table: Saudi Arabia - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 19
Table: Saudi Arabia - Risks To Livestock Outlook 19
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020) 22
Dairy Outlook 23
Table: Saudi Arabia - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Saudi Arabia - Risks To Dairy Outlook 24
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2010-2015) 26
Commodities Price Analysis 27
Global Commodities Strategy 27
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 27
Downstream Analysis 29
Food 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 30
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 32
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 33
Competitive Landscape 35
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies 35
Demographic Forecast 36
Demographic Outlook 36
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 37
Table: Key Population Ratios (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 37
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 38
Table: Population By Age Group (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 38
Table: Population By Age Group % (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 39
Methodology 41
Industry Forecast Methodology 41
Sector-Specific Methodology 42

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