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Hungary Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 74 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The Hungarian petrochemicals industry is witnessing strong growth, supported by additional capacity andrising demand from domestic industries. The automotive industry dominates the sector's end-market,absorbing the supply of polymers and rubbers. While automotive output growth is set to slow, it will stillreport a forecast 8.1% growth in 2016, giving a strong basis for continued petrochemicals output growth.In 2015, Hungary had olefins production capacities of 660,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) ethylene and400,000tpa propylene. It is also estimated to have polymer capacities of 400,000tpa high densitypolyethylene (HDPE), 210,000tpa low density polyethylene (LDPE), 650,000tpa polypropylene (PP) and440,000tpa polyvinyl chloride.Following a disappointing 2014, Hungary's rubber and plastic output grew by around 15% y-o-y in 2015,while chemicals output rose 2.3%. MOL reported that its production, most of which originated in Hungary,saw ethylene grew 12.4% y-o-y to 737,000 tonnes, while propylene rose 15.7% to 378,000 tonnes. Inpolymers, LDPE grew by 17.0% to 177,000 tonnes, HDPE rose 11.7% to 390,000 tonnes and PP rose by20.6% to 534,000 tonnes. Additionally, the start-up of a new 130,000tpa butadiene unit in Q415 saw outputof 39,000 tonnes of butadiene. Growth in butadiene output will help secure feedstock supplies for syntheticrubber used in the country's growing automotive industry.

Table Of Contents

Hungary Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 10
Operational Risk 11
Industry Forecast 13
Table: Hungary's Petrochemical Industry, Historical Data and Forecast, 2012-2020 17
Macroeconomic Forecasts 18
Macroeconomic Forecast 18
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Hungary 2015-2025) 21
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2025) 23
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2025) 24
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2025) 25
Table: Net Exports Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2025) 26
Industry Risk Reward Index 27
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 27
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 31
Hungary Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 31
Market Overview 33
Industry Trends And Developments 36
Upstream 36
Downstream 37
Company Profile 40
BorsodChem 40
Magyar Olaj-es Gázipari (MOL) 43
Regional Overview 46
Table: Northwest European Cracker Outages 49
Table: Europe Polymer Plant Turnarounds 49
Global Industry Overview 57
Demographic Forecast 64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hungary 1990-2025) 65
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hungary 1990-2025) 65
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Hungary 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group (Hungary 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hungary 1990-2025) 67
Glossary 69
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 69
Methodology 70
Industry Forecast Methodology 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 72
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 73
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 74

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