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Indonesia Consumer Electronics Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 64 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We expect a second successive year of US dollar contraction for Indonesia consumerelectronics device spending in 2016, but with a forecast contraction of just 0.1%, performance will be aconsiderable improvement over 2015. The medium term outlook is much stronger, with economicdevelopment driving up incomes, and a significant boost to our forecast across the board from rupiahappreciation against the USD envisaged for 2018-2020. We forecast a CAGR of 8.9% for 2016-2020 as awhole, to total spending of USD19.7bn in 2020. Underpinning our view for improved performance later inthe forecast is pent-up demand from 2015 and 2016, which will be unlocked as economic growthstrengthens and the household income profile resisters a considerable improvement. Other factors making apositive contribution to the consumer spending growth story will include favourable demographicdynamics, rising levels of urbanisation, and declining device prices.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- Computer Hardware Sales: USD4.83bn in 2016 to USD7.61bn in 2020, compound annual growth rate(CAGR) of 12.0% 2016-2020. Depreciation remains a squeeze on affordability in 2016, but the mediumtermoutlook is bright based on income growth that will deepen the market and ease price sensitivity inthe middle class.

- AV Sales: Rising from USD2.09bn in 2016 to USD2.76bn in 2020, CAGR of 7.2% 2016-2020. FlatpanelTV set upgrades still have growth momentum in Indonesia, while Smart and Ultra-HD technologieswill trigger spending in among high income households.

- Handset Sales: Rising from USD7.03bn in 2016 to USD9.29bn in 2020, a CAGR of 7.2% 2016-2020.Local content requirement generates some uncertainty but we are still bullish on smartphone growth inIndonesia where relatively low penetration of smartphones should see volume growth maintained overthe medium term.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Consumer Electronics Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates and Industry Developments 7
SWOT 9
Consumer Electronics Market 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview (Indonesia 2014-2020) 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index 17
Table: Asia Pacific CE Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016 20
Market Overview 21
Recent Developments 21
Computers 21
Table: PC Sales (Indonesia 2014-2020) 21
AV Devices 27
Table: AV Sales (Indonesia 2014-2020) 27
Mobile Handsets 31
Table: Mobile Communications (Indonesia 2014-2020) 31
Industry Trends And Developments 40
Consumer Electronics Trade 40
Table: Emerging APAC Consumer Electronics (CE) Trade, 2009-2014 41
Table: Indonesia Consumer Electronics Trade Balance, 2009-2014 42
Consumer Electronics Industry Analysis 43
Table: Smartphone Production Expansion In Indonesia By Vendor 45
Regulatory Development 47
Table: Key Ministers And Departments 47
Competitive Landscape 50
Retailers 50
Table: Major Electronics Retailers 50
Table: E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 50
Consumer Electronics Vendors 51
Table: Lenovo Indonesia 51
Table: Foxconn Technology Group 52
Table: Intel 53
Table: PT Global Teleshop 54
Demographic Forecast 55
Demographic Outlook 55
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025) 56
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025) 56
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025) 57
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025) 57
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025) 58
Methodology 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sector-Specific Methodology 61
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 62
Sector-Specific Methodology 63
Table: Consumer Electronics Risk/Reward Index Indicators 63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 64

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