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Pakistan Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Greater availability of gas supplies via LNG imports and expanding pipeline gas trades withregional suppliers will allow Pakistan's gas imports to grow steadily over the coming years. The countrywill remain a substantial net importer of crude oil and refined fuels, as domestic production proveincreasingly insufficient to offset rising demand.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- In April 2016, the government removed the moratorium on new gas connections in high-rise buildings, asthe beginning of LNG imports increase the availability of natural gas supplies in the domestic market.This supports our positive outlook on long-term gas demand growth in Pakistan.

- In April 2016, the Ministry of Petroleum submitted a proposal to reduce taxes imposed on oil and gasexploration and production firms from 40.0% to 30.0% in the upcoming budget (2016-2017). Ifapproved, it will help to retain existing international players and attract new ones into the Pakistaniupstream sector.

- Rostec's plan to build a USD2.5bn gas pipeline in Pakistan from Lahore to Karachi will improvedomestic pipeline connectivity, which supports our forecasts for domestic gas demand to grow steadilyover the next 10 years.

- Completion of the Baluchistan Oil Refinery has taken Pakistan's refining capacity to 402,000b/d as ofend-2015, though severe underutilisation of existing capacity will render the country dependent onrefined fuels imports through to the end of our forecast period in 2025.

Table Of Contents

Pakistan Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Pakistan 2014-2020) 7
Latest Updates And Key Forecasts 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Key Discoveries In 2015-2016 12
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (2014-2019) 13
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Pakistan 2020-2025) 13
Upstream Projects 14
Table: Pakistan - Key Upstream Projects 14
Upstream Production - Oil 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Oil Production (Pakistan 2014-2019) 19
Table: Oil Production (Pakistan 2020-2025) 19
Upstream Production - Gas 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Gas Production (Pakistan 2014-2019) 21
Table: Gas Production (Pakistan 2020-2025) 21
Refining 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Pakistan 2014-2019) 24
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Pakistan 2020-2025) 24
Refined Fuels Consumption 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Pakistan 2014-2019) 26
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Pakistan 2020-2025) 26
Gas Consumption 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Gas Consumption (Pakistan 2014-2019) 29
Table: Gas Consumption (Pakistan 2020-2025) 30
Trade - Oil 31
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Pakistan 2014-2019) 33
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Pakistan 2020-2025) 33
Fuels Trade Forecast 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Pakistan 2014-2019) 34
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Pakistan 2020-2025) 35
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 36
Latest Updates 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Gas Net Exports (Pakistan 2014-2019) 39
Table: Gas Net Exports (Pakistan 2020-2025) 40
Industry Risk Reward Index 41
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 41
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Production Cuts Reinforce Bearish Outlook 43
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 44
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Refinery Developments Lift Scores For Malaysia And The Philippines 45
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 46
Pakistan Risk/Reward Index 47
Market Overview 49
Energy Market Overview 49
Regulatory Structure 49
Fiscal Regime 50
Table: Pakistan - Upstream Tax Regime 50
Licensing Regime 50
Table: Pakistan - Contracts And Licensing Regime 50
Licensing Rounds 50
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 51
Oil Refineries 51
Table: Oil Refineries In Pakistan 51
Oil Storage Facilities 51
Oil Terminals/Ports 51
Oil Pipelines 52
LNG Terminals 52
Table: LNG Terminals In Pakistan 52
Competitive Landscape 55
Competitive Landscape Summary 55
Table: Key Players - Pakistan Oil and Gas Sector 56
Regional Overview 57
Asia Regional Overview 57
Glossary 65
Table: Glossary Of Terms 65
Methodology 67
Industry Forecast Methodology 67
Source 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 69
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 71
Table: Weighting 72

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