Australia Shipping Industry Update Quarter 3 2012

$ 1 088 - May 2013 - by Business Monitor International - 142

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The Australian economy continued to grow at the end of 2012 (0.6% quarter-on-quarter in seasonally
adjusted terms) with this performance supported by the improvement in export performance. However,
BMI does not expect external demand to remain resilient in 2013, impacting the country's shipping sector,
and we believe that the soft domestic economy will also weigh on headline growth, which we expect to
slow to 2.1%. That said, we see upside risks to 2013 GDP stemming from the potential for politicians to
undertake more aggressive spending than we have pencilled in as the September elections draw closer.
Chinese demand remains a hugely important factor in determining the strength of Australia's shipping
sector, with exports to the Asian powerhouse accounting for US$33.5bn in 2009, according to the IMF
Direction of Trade Statistics. The weaker reading of China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in January,
which continued its decline to 50.4 from 52.3 in December 2012, suggests that initial optimism surrounding
a quick recovery may be unfounded.

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Shipping
Bulk Shipping
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