Egypt Freight Transport Industry Update Quarter 3 2012
$ 1 088
- May 2013
- by Business Monitor International
- 78
Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
Political uncertainty will continue to affect the Egyptian economy in 2013 as the country continues on its
rocky transitional period towards democracy. This uncertainty will, in turn, continue to affect the freight
transport sector as a worsening economic position will impact on the country's demand for cargo
transportation, due to muted private consumption and a lack of significant infrastructure projects as foreign
direct investment dries up. As a result, our forecasts for the Egyptian rail and air freight, and the ports sector
are largely sedate, though the transhipment hub of East Port Said - less reliant on domestic demand - is
expected to outperform despite a rocky start to the year with protests in Port Said.
Headline Industry Data
• Air freight handled at Cairo International Airport is set to grow by 3.5% year-on-year in 2013 to reach
243,800 tonnes. Over the medium term to 2017, growth will average 3.5% per annum.
• Rail cargo will enjoy expansion of 1.8% in 2013, with growth projected to average 1.7% over the
medium term.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Freight Transport 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Business Environment 14
Industry Forecast 15
Air Freight 16
Table: Air Freight - Cairo International Airport And Egypt, 2010-2017 18
Rail Freight 18
Table: Rail Freight, 2010-2017 20
Maritime Freight 20
Table: Maritime Freight, 2010-2017 22
Trade 23
Table: Trade Overview, 2010-2017 23
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2010-2017 (US$mn and % change y-o-y) 24
Table: Egypt's Main Import Partners (US$mn) 25
Table: Egypt's Main Export Partners (US$mn) 25
Market Overview 27
Industry Trends And Developments 32
Inland Waterway 32
Maritime 34
Company Profile 36
EgyptAir Cargo 36
Egypt Transport & Commercial Services SAE (Egytrans) 38
Regional Overview 40
Political Outlook 40
Domestic Politics 1 40
Domestic Politics 2 42
Long-Term Political Outlook 44
Table: Egypt - Political Overview 49
Global Industry Overview 50
Global Oil Product Price Outlook 50
Methodology 50
Crude Price Forecasts 51
Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts, Average Price (US$/bbl) 51
Early Rally Turns Into Run-Off 51
Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecasts, US$/bbl 55
Supply: Refining Capacity Expansion Sets Tone 56
Naphtha: Global Economic Outlook Weighs On Prices 60
Gasoline And Gasoil/Diesel: The Green Effect 61
Jet Fuel: Freight Continues Slump 62
Table: Total Air Freight & Passenger Volumes 62
Bunker Fuels: Efficiency Takes Hit On Demand 63
Macroeconomic Forecasts 65
Household Consumption Outlook 68
Government Consumption Outlook 69
Fixed Investment Outlook 70
Net Export Outlook 71
Demographic Forecast 73
Table: Egypt's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 74
Table: Egypt's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 75
Table: Egypt's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 76
Table: Egypt's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 76
Methodology 77
Transport Industry 78
Sources 78
Heavy Truck in Egypt
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2002 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport, Construction and Regional Development Slovakia/Ministry of Economy Slovakia/B
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : Slovakia (slovak Republic), Egypt
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2007 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport, Construction and Regional Development Slovakia/Ministry of Economy Slovakia/B
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : Slovakia (slovak Republic), Egypt
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2003 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport, Construction and Regional Development Slovakia/Ministry of Economy Slovakia/B
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : Slovakia (slovak Republic), Egypt
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2004 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : United States, Egypt
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2005 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : Egypt
Heavy Truck and Bus in Egypt
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2004 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : Egypt
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2005 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : Egypt
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2004 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : Egypt
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2004 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : Egypt
- $ 250
- Industry data
- February 2013
Yearly, From 2004 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Ministry of Transport
- Industries : Heavy Truck and Bus
- Countries : Egypt