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Kenya Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 87 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Many emerging market economies are increasingly exposed to the negative effect of sustainedlower commodity prices. This is putting downward pressure on government finances and, as a consequence,healthcare budgets. We nevertheless maintain a positive long-term outlook for medicine demand inemerging markets such as Kenya, as access widens through the expansion of reimbursement lists andgreater investment in hospitals and clinics.

Headline Expenditure Projections

- Pharmaceuticals: KES73.34bn (USD746mn) in 2015 to KES83.97bn (USD806mn) in 2016; 14.5%growth in local currency terms and 8.0% in US dollar terms.

- Healthcare: KES341.15bn (USD3.47bn) in 2015 to KES377.09 (USD3.62bn) in 2016; 10.5% growth inlocal currency terms and 4.3% in US dollar terms.

Table Of Contents

Kenya Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Forecasts (Kenya 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 10
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2020) 11
Healthcare Market Forecast 13
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2020) 14
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2020) 15
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2020) 15
Prescription Drug Market Forecast 16
Table: Prescription Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2020) 17
Patented Drug Market Forecast 18
Table: Patented Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2020) 19
Generic Drug Market Forecast 20
Table: Generic Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2020) 21
OTC Medicines Market Forecast 22
Table: Over-The-Counter (OTC) Medicine Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2020) 23
Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast 24
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2014-2020) 25
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts local currency (Kenya 2014-2020) 26
Industry Risk Reward Index 27
Middle East and Africa Risk/Reward Index - Q3 2016 27
Kenya Risk/Reward Index 35
Rewards 35
Risks 36
Regulatory Review 37
Intellectual Property Issues 38
Pricing and Reimbursement Regime 38
Market Overview 40
Healthcare Sector 40
Table: Healthcare Resources (Kenya 2010-2015) 42
Table: Healthcare Personnel (Kenya 2010-2015) 42
Table: Healthcare Activity (Kenya 2010-2015) 43
Research and Development 51
Clinical Trials 52
Epidemiology 54
Competitive Landscape 57
Research-Based Industry 57
Table: Multinational Market Activity 58
Pharmaceutical Distribution 59
Pharmaceutical Retail Sector 61
Company Profile 63
GlaxoSmithKline 63
Merck and Co 66
Novartis 68
Pfizer 71
Sanofi 74
Demographic Forecast 76
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kenya 1990-2025) 77
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kenya 1990-2025) 77
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Kenya 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group (Kenya 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kenya 1990-2025) 79
Glossary 81
Methodology 83
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 83
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 83
Notes On Methodology 84
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 85
Index Overview 86
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 86
Indicator Weightings 87

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