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  5. > Thailand Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

Thailand Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 77 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Thailand's planned LNG import terminal at Rayong, expected to commence operations in 2023,will enable the government to import more LNG to manage falling domestic gas production and limit risksto the security of gas supply from Myanmar. Strong consumer demand for gasoline and constructiondemand for diesel, combined with low oil prices, will provide the impetus for Thailand's refiners tomaximise production over the next two years and raise the country's refined fuels net exports.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- Thailand's crude oil production will peak in 2016 as peak production at the Nong Yao and Wassanaoilfields adds to the country's production. It will decline thereafter as falling production from thecountry's mature fields weighs on overall output.

- Domestic gas production fell for the first time in 15 years. We maintain our forecast for domestic gasproduction to be on a downtrend, as weak LNG prices will encourage PTT to substitute some gaspurchases from domestic sources with LNG imports.

- Strong consumer demand for gasoline and construction demand for diesel, combined with low oil prices,will provide impetus for Thailand's refiners to maximise production over the next two years and raise thecountry's refined fuels net exports.

- Thailand's Energy Policy Administration Committee approved a plan by state-owned PTT PublicCompany to build a 5.0mn tpa LNG import terminal at Rayong by 2023.

Table Of Contents

Thailand Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Thailand 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Thailand 2014-2019) 11
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Thailand 2020-2025) 11
Upstream Projects 12
Table: Thailand Major Upstream Projects 12
Upstream Production - Oil 13
Latest Updates 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Oil Production (Thailand 2014-2019) 16
Table: Oil Production (Thailand 2020-2025) 16
Upstream Production - Gas 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Gas Production (Thailand 2014-2019) 21
Table: Gas Production (Thailand 2020-2025) 21
Refining 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Thailand 2014-2019) 25
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Thailand 2020-2025) 25
Refined Fuels Consumption 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Thailand 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Thailand 2020-2025) 30
Gas Consumption 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Gas Consumption (Thailand 2014-2019) 33
Table: Gas Consumption (Thailand 2020-2025) 33
Trade - Oil 33
Crude Oil Trade Forecast 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Thailand 2014-2020) 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Thailand 2020-2025) 35
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 36
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Thailand 2014-2019) 37
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Thailand 2020-2025) 38
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 38
Latest Updates 38
Structural Trends 38
Table: Gas Net Exports (Thailand 2014-2019) 41
Table: Gas Net Exports (Thailand 2020-2025) 42
Industry Risk Reward Index 43
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Production Cuts Reinforce Bearish Outlook 45
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 46
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Refinery Developments Lift Scores For Malaysia And The Philippines 47
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 48
Thailand - Risk/Reward Index 49
Upstream Index 49
Downstream Index 50
Market Overview 51
Thailand Energy Market Overview 51
Regulatory Structure 51
Fiscal Regime 52
Table: Thailand - Upstream Tax Regime 52
Table: Thailand - Contracts and Licensing Regime 52
Exclusive Economic Zone 52
Licensing Rounds 53
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 54
Table: Oil Refineries In Thailand 54
Oil Terminals/Ports 55
LNG Terminals 55
Table: Thailand - Existing and Planned LNG Terminals 55
Gas Storage Terminal 56
Table: Thailand - Gas Pipelines 56
Table: Thailand - Crude Oil Pipeline 56
Competitive Landscape 57
Table: Key Players In Thailand's Oil and Gas Sector 58
Company Profile 59
PTTEP 59
Latest Updates 59
Table: Major Upstream Assets In Thailand 60
Table: Major Upstream Assets In Myanmar 60
Table: Key Financial Data 61
Regional Overview 62
Asia Regional Overview 62
Glossary 70
Table: Glossary Of Terms 70
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Source 74
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 74
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 76
Table: Weighting 77

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