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Cote d%Ivoire Food and Drink Report Q2 2015

  • February 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 49 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Côte d'Ivoire is among Sub-Saharan Africa's fastest-growing economies, supporting our view that the country's food, beverage and retail sectors have a very positive medium-term outlook. Over our five-year forecast period, an advantageous domestic demographic picture and the highly underdeveloped nature of the local market will leave tremendous room for growth. We still expect to see average annual real GDP growth of close to 9% between 2014 and 2018. By our forecasts, this places Côte d'Ivoire as the fourth fastestgrowing Sub-Saharan African country to 2018, behind Sierra Leone, Mozambique and South Sudan. As a result, we believe that incomes will rise by almost 50%, driving a nominal increase in per capita food consumption of 46.3% between 2013 and 2018.

Key Forecasts

- 2014 total food consumption growth (local currency terms): +10.4%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to 2018: +10.1%.
- 2014 per capita food consumption growth (local currency terms): +7.8%; CAGR to 2018: +7.6%
- 2014 beer volume sales growth: +6.5%; CAGR to 2018: +5.9%.
- 2014 mass grocery retail sales growth (in local currency terms): +13.1%; CAGR to 2018: +16.1%.

Table Of Contents

Cote d%Ivoire Food and Drink Report Q2 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Industry Forecast 8
Consumer Outlook 8
Food 9
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cote d`Ivoire 2011-2018) 10
Drink 11
Table: Beer Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cote d`Ivoire 2013-2018) 11
Mass Grocery Retail 12
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Cote d`Ivoire 2013-2018) 12
Macroeconomic Forecast 13
Macroeconomic Forecasts 13
Table: Economic Activity (Cote d`Ivoire 2010-2019) 17
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 18
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 18
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q115 20
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Food and Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index, Q115 (scores out of 10) 23
Market Overview 24
West and Central Africa Market Overview 24
Looking Beyond Nigeria and Ghana For Opportunities In West Africa 24
Global Industry Overview 27
Table: DOLLAR GENERAL AND FAMILY DOLLAR HISTORIC QUARTERLY SAME-STORE SALES GROWTH (% CHANGE Y-O-Y) 31
Table: SELECT US BEVERAGE COMPANIES - HISTORIC EVA SPREAD 36
Table: Food and Drink Team's Core Views 37
Demographic Forecast 39
Table: Côte d'Ivoire's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 40
Table: Côte d'Ivoire's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 41
Table: Côte d'Ivoire's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 42
Table: Côte d'Ivoire's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 42
Glossary 43
Food and Drink 43
Mass Grocery Retail 43
Methodology 45
Industry Forecast Methodology 45
Sector-Specific Methodology 46
Sources 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 47
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 48
Table: Weighting 49

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