Philippines Agribusiness Report Q3 2014

  • May 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 117 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View: We hold a positive view on the Philippines' agribusiness sector in the long term given the potential for expansion of new sectors such as palm oil. Our outlook is especially positive for sugar production, and we also believe the livestock sector will continue to post healthy growth rates. The
Philippines' vast consumption market, along with strong government support, will foster domestic and foreign investment and favour output expansion. However, backyard farming and infrastructure problems, especially transport costs, will continue to hamper the sector's growth. This paradox is well illustrated in the island of Mindanao: a recent peace deal between the government and a rebel group could inspire investor confidence, which would help to develop the region's strong agricultural potential. However, lingering issues regarding business environment and security issues in Mindanao will restrict the development of the island.

Key Forecasts
- Sugar production growth to 2017/18: 16.2% to 2.8mn tonnes. Sugar production expansion will be mainly driven by improvements in yields.
- Pork production growth to 2017/18: 16.4% to 1.6mn tonnes. Growth will be driven by an increase in commercial farming, as well as rising domestic consumption.

Table Of Contents

Philippines Agribusiness Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness .... 10
Business Environment . 12
Industry Forecast 13
Dairy Outlook .. 13
Table: Philippines Butter Consumption, 2013-2018 . . . 14
Table: Philippines Cheese Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . . . 14
Table: Philippines Milk Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . . 14
Table: Philippines Whole Milk Powder Consumption, 2013-2018 . 15
Table: Philippines Butter Consumption, 2008-2013 . . . 18
Table: Philippines Cheese Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . . . 18
Table: Philippines Milk Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . . 19
Table: Philippines Whole Milk Powder Consumption, 2008-2013 . 19
Livestock Outlook .. 20
Table: Philippines Beef and Veal Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . . 21
Table: Philippines Pork Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . . 21
Table: Philippines Poultry Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . . 21
Table: Philippines Beef and Veal Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . . 23
Table: Philippines Pork Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . . 23
Table: Philippines Poultry Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . . 23
Rice Outlook .... 25
Table: Philippines Rice Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . 26
Table: Philippines Rice Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . 31
Grains Outlook 32
Table: Philippines Corn Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 . 33
Table: Philippines Wheat Consumption, 2013-2018 . . . 33
Table: Philippines Corn Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 . 35
Table: Philippines Wheat Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 36
Sugar Outlook .. 37
Table: Philippines Sugar Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 38
Table: Philippines Sugar Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 43
Commodities Price Analysis ... 44
Monthly Grains Update .... 44
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and Forecasts 52
Monthly Softs Update .. 53
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts . . 63
Upstream Analysis ... 64
Asia Machinery Outlook ... 64
Table: China Grain Public Production Support Programme (CNYbn) 66
Asia GM Outlook ... 72
Table: Select Countries - GM Crops Use In 2012 . . 78
Asia Fertiliser Outlook 78
Table: Global Benchmark Fertiliser Prices (US$/tonne FOB, reported prices at the end of quarter) 82
Downstream Analysis ... 86
Food .... 86
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2010-2017 . 87
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2010-2017 89
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2010-2017 91
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2010-2017 . . 92
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2010-2017 94
Drink ... 96
Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2010-2017 97
Table: Soft Drinks Value Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2010-2017 98
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2010-2017 100
Mass Grocery Retail . 101
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2010-2017 . . . 103
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type . . 103
Regional Overview . 104
Table: Hourly Textile Industry Wages By Country (USD) 108
Table: Select Countries - Biofuel Blending Mandates and Programmes 110
Competitive Landscape ... 111
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies (USD mn) 111
Demographic Forecast .... 112
Demographic Outlook .... 112
Table: The Philippines' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 113
Table: The Philippines' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . 114
Table: The Philippines' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . 115
Table: The Philippines' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 115
Methodology . 116
Industry Forecast Methodology 116
Sector-Specific Methodology .... 117

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