Hungary Commercial Banking Report Q3 2014

  • May 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Hungary Commercial Banking Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View ...... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, February 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2013-2018 (%) . . . . . . 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 72 Countries Reviewed In 2014 . . . . . . . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2011-2018 . . . 8
SWOT ...... 9
Commercial Banking .... 9
Political ................... 10
Economic ................. 11
Business Environment 12
Industry Forecast ..... 14
Industry Risk Reward Ratings ...... 20
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings ........... 20
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings . . . . . 21
Market Overview ...... 22
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook ........ 22
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 . . . . . . . . . . 22
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2014 . . . . . . . . . . 23
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) . . . . . . . . . 24
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2014 . . . . . 25
Macroeconomic Forecast ................. 25
Table: Hungary - Economic Activity . . . . . . . . . . . 32
Competitive Landscape ................ 33
Market Structure ....... 33
Protagonists ............ 33
Table: Protagonists In Hungary's Commercial Banking Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
Definition Of The Hungarian Commercial Banking Universe ........... 33
List Of Banks ........... 34
Table: 20 Largest Banks By Assets . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Company Profile ....... 35
Budapest Hitel- es Fejlesztesi Bank Nyilvánosan M?köd? ................ 35
Central-European International Bank . 36
MFB Magyar Fejlesztesi Bank Zrt ..... 38
Table: Balance Sheet (HUFmn) 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 39
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . . . . . . . 40
Raiffeisen Bank ......... 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 42
Table: Balance Sheet (HUFmn) 42
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . . . . . . . 43
UniCredit Bank Hungary ................. 44
Regional Overview ... 46
Emerging Europe Overview .............. 46
Global Industry Overview .............. 51
Global Commercial Banking Outlook . 51
Regional Outlooks .... 51
Demographic Forecast ................. 58
Table: Hungary's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
Table: Hungary's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . . . . . 60
Table: Hungary's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . . . . . . 61
Table: Hungary's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 61
Methodology ............. 62
Industry Forecast Methodology ....... 62
Sector Specific Methodology ........... 63
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology ... 64
Sector Specific Methodology ........... 65
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Rating Indicators 65
Weighting ............... 66
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66

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