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  4. > Hungary Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Hungary Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 78 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Hungary Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, February 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Market Overview 22
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook 22
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 22
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 23
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 24
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 25
Macroeconomic Forecast 26
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Hungary 2015-2025) 29
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2025) 31
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2025) 32
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2025) 33
Table: Net Exports Forecasts (Hungary 2014-2025) 34
Competitive Landscape 35
Market Structure 35
Protagonists 35
Table: Protagonists In Hungary's Commercial Banking Sector 35
Definition Of The Hungarian Commercial Banking Universe 35
List Of Banks 36
Table: Domestic Credit Institutions 36
Company Profile 38
Budapest Hitel- es Fejlesztesi Bank Nyilvánosan M?köd? 38
Central-European International Bank 40
MFB Magyar Fejlesztesi Bank Zrt 42
Table: Balance Sheet (HUFmn) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Raiffeisen Bank 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 46
Table: Balance Sheet (HUFmn) 46
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 47
UniCredit Bank Hungary 48
Regional Overview 50
Emerging Europe Overview 50
Global Industry Overview 57
Industry Forecast 57
The Reserves Penalty 57
Mixed Results So Far 60
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 65
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 66
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 68
Demographic Forecast 69
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hungary 1990-2025) 70
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hungary 1990-2025) 70
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Hungary 1990-2025) 71
Table: Population By Age Group (Hungary 1990-2025) 71
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hungary 1990-2025) 72
Methodology 74
Industry Forecast Methodology 74
Sector-Specific Methodology 75
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 76
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 77
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 78

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