Saudi Arabia Agribusiness Report Q3 2014

  • May 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 73 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Saudi Arabia will increasingly be dependent on global grain supply, as the country has decided
to phase out domestic grain production in a bid to preserve the country's water supply. The government has not abandoned its strategy of self-sufficiency in poultry and has been ramping up incentives to expand capacity production. This strategy has paid off, as the three major producers in the sector have all started heavy investment initiatives. We believe Saudi Arabia will find sufficient grain supply from the Black Sea region and the EU to supply its meat and food processing industry in the coming years. However, the country will remain highly vulnerable to volatile grain and feed prices. Recent spikes in feed prices have turned us more cautious on margins for dairy and livestock producers in the country, especially those that import inputs from abroad.

Key Forecasts

- Wheat production growth to 2017/18: -43.8% to 393,700 tonnes. Wheat production will continue to decrease in the coming years on the back of the government's programme to phase out production.
- Corn consumption growth to 2018: 22.8% to 2.8mn tonnes. Corn consumption will be mainly driven by the strong growth of the poultry sector, as corn is a major feed ingredient.
- Poultry production growth to 2017/18: 52.0% to 865,100 tonnes. This spectacular growth will mainly come from the effects of capacity expansion at the three major poultry farms (Al-Watania, Al-Fakieh and Almarai), along with continuous government support.

Table Of Contents

Saudi Arabia Agribusiness Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Business Environment 12
Industry Forecast 13
Livestock Outlook 13
Table: Saudi Arabia Beef and Veal Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 14
Table: Saudi Arabia Poultry Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 15
Table: Saudi Arabia Beef and Veal Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 20
Table: Saudi Arabia Poultry Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 20
Grains Outlook 21
Table: Saudi Arabia Barley Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 22
Table: Saudi Arabia Corn Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 22
Table: Saudi Arabia Wheat Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 22
Table: Saudi Arabia Barley Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 26
Table: Saudi Arabia Corn Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 27
Table: Saudi Arabia Wheat Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 27
Dairy Outlook 29
Table: Saudi Arabia Butter Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 30
Table: Saudi Arabia Cheese Consumption, 2013-2018 30
Table: Saudi Arabia Milk Production and Consumption, 2013-2018 30
Table: Saudi Arabia Butter Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 34
Table: Saudi Arabia Cheese Consumption, 2008-2013 34
Table: Saudi Arabia Milk Production and Consumption, 2008-2013 35
Commodities Price Analysis 36
Monthly Grains Update 36
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and Forecasts 44
Monthly Softs Update 45
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 55
Downstream Analysis 56
Food 56
Food Consumption 56
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 57
Confectionery 58
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 59
Drink 60
Soft Drinks And Bottled Water 60
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 62
Alcoholic Drinks 62
Hot Drinks 63
Table: Hot Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 63
Mass Grocery Retail 64
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 65
Table: Retail Sales By Format 66
Competitive Landscape 67
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies 67
Demographic Forecast 68
Table: Saudi Arabia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 69
Table: Saudi Arabia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 70
Table: Saudi Arabia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 71
Table: Saudi Arabia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 71
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Sector-Specific Methodology 73

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