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Saudi Arabia Agribusiness Report Q3 2015

  • May 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Saudi Arabia will increasingly be dependent on global grain supply, as the country has decidedto phase out domestic grain production in a bid to preserve the country's water supply. The government hasnot abandoned its strategy of self-sufficiency in poultry though, and has been ramping up incentives toexpand capacity production. This strategy has paid off, as the three major producers in the sector have allstarted heavy investment initiatives. We believe Saudi Arabia will find sufficient grain supply from the BlackSea region and the EU to supply its meat and food processing industry in the coming years. However, thecountry will remain highly vulnerable to volatile grain and feed prices. Recent spikes in feed prices haveturned us more cautious on margins for dairy and livestock producers in the country, especially those thatimport inputs from abroad.
Key Forecasts
- Wheat production growth to 2018/19: -47.8% to 132,000 tonnes. Wheat production will continue todecrease in the coming years on the back of the government's programme to phase out production.

Table Of Contents

Saudi Arabia Agribusiness Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View ...... 7
SWOT .......... 10
Agribusiness .... 10
Operational Risk ............. 12
Industry Forecast ..... 14
Grains Outlook 14
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) . . 15
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) . . . . 15
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) . . . 15
Table: Saudi Arabia Grain Storage Capacity, Flour and Feed Production Capacity . 19
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2009-2014) . . 20
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2009-2014) . . . . 20
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2009-2014) . . . 20
Livestock Outlook ............ 22
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) . . . . . 23
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) . . 23
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2009-2014) . . . . . 27
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2009-2014) . . 28
Dairy Outlook .. 29
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) . . . 30
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) . . 30
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) . . . . . 30
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2009-2014) . . . 31
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2009-2014) . . 32
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2009-2014) . . . . . 32
Commodities Price Analysis ... 33
Monthly Softs Update ....... 33
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and Bmi Forecasts . 42
Monthly Grains Update .... 42
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and Bmi Forecasts . 50
Downstream Analysis ............. 51
Mass Grocery Retail ........ 51
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) . . 52
Table: Retail Sales By Format . 53
Drink ............. 54
Soft Drinks .... 54
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) . . . . 56
Alcoholic Drinks ............ 57
Hot Drinks ..... 57
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) . . . . . 58
Food .............. 59
Food Consumption ......... 59
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) . . . . . 60
Confectionery . 60
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) . 61
Fish .............. 62
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 62
Dairy ............ 63
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) . . . . 64
Competitive Landscape .......... 65
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies . . . . . 65
Demographic Forecast ........... 66
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 67
Table: Key Population Ratios (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . . . 67
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . . . . 68
Table: Population By Age Group (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 68
Table: Population By Age Group % (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) . . . 69
Methodology ............. 71
Industry Forecast Methodology ....... 71
Sector-Specific Methodology ........... 72

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