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  4. > Kenya Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

Kenya Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Kenya Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, November 2015 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 17
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 17
Table: Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 18
Market Overview 19
Economic Analysis 19
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Outlook 21
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 21
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 22
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (USDbn) 24
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 25
Competitive Landscape 26
Market Structure 26
Protagonists 26
Table: Protagonists In Kenya's Commercial Banking Sector 26
Definition of the Commercial Banking Universe 26
List Of Banks 27
Table: Commercial Banks With 15 or More Branches 27
Company Profile 28
Cooperative Bank of Kenya 28
Table: Stock Market Indicators 30
Table: Balance Sheet (KESmn) 30
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 30
Table: Key Ratios (%) 31
Equity Bank 32
Table: Stock Market Indicators 33
Table: Balance Sheet (KESmn) 34
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 34
Table: Key Ratios (%) 34
Family Bank 35
National Bank of Kenya 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators 38
Table: Balance Sheet (KESmn) 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 39
Table: Key Ratios (%) 39
Standard Chartered Bank Kenya 40
Table: Stock Market Indicators 41
Table: Balance Sheet (KESmn) 42
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 42
Table: Key Ratios (%) 42
Regional Overview 43
Industry Trend Analysis 43
Global Industry Overview 46
Industry Forecast 46
The Reserves Penalty 46
Mixed Results So Far 49
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 54
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 55
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 57
Demographic Forecast 58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kenya 1990-2025) 59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kenya 1990-2025) 59
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Kenya 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group (Kenya 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kenya 1990-2025) 61
Methodology 63
Industry Forecast Methodology 63
Sector-Specific Methodology 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 65
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 66
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 67

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