Iran Defence and Security Industry Update Quarter 3 2012

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Iran Defence SWOT 8
Iran Security SWOT 10
Political 13
Economic 14
Business Environment 15
Industry Forecast 16
Defence Expenditure 16
Table: Defence Expenditure 16
Table: Expenditure Scenario: Changing % Of Gov Expenditure (US$mn) 17
Armed Forces 18
Table: Armed Forces ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 18
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49 unless otherwise stated) 19
Defence Sector Production 19
Exports 20
Imports 20
Macroeconomic Forecasts 21
Economic Analysis 21
Table: European Union Increasing Pressure On Iran 21
Energy Exports Will Not Be Hit Hard 21
While Financial Sanctions Will Increase The Banking Sector's Isolation 22
Nuclear Policy Unlikely To Change For Now 22
Economic Analysis 22
Private Consumption Outlook 23
Fixed Investment Outlook 24
Government Spending Outlook 25
Net Exports 26
Table: Iran - Economic Activity 28
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 29
MENA - Security Risk Ratings 29
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence & Security Ratings 30
Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 30
Iran Security Rating 31
Market Overview 32
Iran Defence Market Overview 32
Market Overview 32
Armed Forces and Government Spending 32
Industry Trends and Developments 42
Weapons of Mass Destruction 42
Arms Trade Overview 46
Iran Security Overview 48
Domestic Threats 48
Regional Threats 55
International Threats 56
Company Profile 60
China Great Wall Industry Corporation 60
Sukhoi 62
Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant 64
Aerospace Industries Organization 65
Ammunition & Metallurgy Industries Group 67
Defence Industries Corporation 69
Iran Electronics Industries 71
Regional Overview 72
Middle East and Africa Defence Overview 72
Military Expenditure 72
Armed Forces 76
Arms Trade 77
Middle East and Africa Security Overview 79
Global Industry Overview 95
Global Political Outlook 95
Methodology 98
Defence Industry 99
Sources 99