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Hungary Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We expect slower growth in Hungary's construction sector from 2016 onwards as thegovernment's stimulus for the infrastructure sector comes to an end. EU funding will continue to support thesector - particularly strategic road and rail projects, although we caution the EU probe into cartelallegations in road construction could damage relations with a key financier in the EC.Strong growth in Hungary's construction sector is not due to last long term, as we expect a rising fiscaldeficit to necessitate a drawback in public investment. Between 2016 and 2025, we expect constructionsector real growth to average 2.9% per year.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Civil engineering projects have been the primary drivers of the construction sector rebound, with roadand railway projects in particular, driving the civil engineering growth. However, in November 2015,civil engineering works decreased by 8.0% year-on-year (y-o-y), construction of buildings increased by10.2% y-o-y and the volume of construction output decreased by 0.2% y-o-y (Hungarian StatisticalOffice, January 2016).

- A total of 962 development projects co-financed by the EU are currently delayed, business dailyVilaggazdasag published on November 4 2015. Citing cabinet office information, the paper stated that atthe end of Q315 the state sector and local councils were HUF150bn (EUR480m) behind schedule intaking up EU financing. The state body responsible for Hungary's schools had more than 80 projectsbehind schedule and the National Infrastructure Development Company had 50 delayed projects.Budapest Transport Centre (BKK) projects were also significantly behind schedule. These delays causeda downgrade to our forecasts for the growth of the construction sector, resulting in real growth of 1.9% yo-y in 2016.

Table Of Contents

Hungary Infrastructure Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Hungary's Construction Industry Forecast 8
Table: Hungary's Infrastructure Risk/Reward 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 10
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Hungary 2015-2025) 10
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 15
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Hungary 2015-2025) 16
Table: Transport Projects 23
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 24
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Hungary 2015-2025) 25
Table: Energy and Utilities Projects 30
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview 31
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Hungary 2015-2025) 31
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 35
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 36
Hungary - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 36
Rewards 36
Risks 36
Europe - CEE Infrastructure RRI: Heightened Risks Belie Growing Rewards 38
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 43
Market Overview 44
Competitive Landscape 44
Table: EQS Data 44
Company Profile 45
Strabag Hungary 45
Vegyepszer 50
KÉSZ Building and Construction 52
Methodology 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sector-Specific Methodology 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Sector-Specific Methodology 60
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

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