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  4. > Romania Power Report Q2 2016

Romania Power Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: This quarter we have extended our forecasts to 2025. We continue to forecast electricitygeneration to remain relatively flat - registering annual average growth of 0.98% between 2016 and 2025.Coal will remain the biggest component of the power mix, but gas will gain share as coal capacity is takenoffline to comply with tightening EU emissions targets, and Romania boosts domestic gas production fromthe Black Sea towards the end of our forecast period.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We expect Romanian solar power capacity growth to slow over the next five years. We attribute this viewto the subsidy cuts that have been implemented over the last two years - with support for the segmentslashed both for existing and new capacity.

- A new government strategy for 2015-2025 highlights the increasingly decrepit state of much ofRomania's electricity infrastructure. According to the report, many of the country's electric energyproduction capacities have gone beyond the technical life and are becoming wasteful and polluting.According to the government, the Oltenia and Hunedoara complex energy units are now on the brink ofbankruptcy.- In January 2015, new regulations came into force which allow only energy traders who possess a licenseissued by Romania's energy regulation agency ANRE to import or export electricity. Under the newrules, energy suppliers can sell energy only to the final customers, while the traders can buy and sellenergy on the central market or for export or import. The new law also prohibits energy producers toimport or export energy.

Table Of Contents

Romania Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Romania 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Romania Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Romania 2015-2020) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Romania 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Romania Power Forecast Scenario 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 12
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast 12
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 14
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 14
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Romania 2014-2019) 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Romania 2020-2025) 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Romania 2014-2019) 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Romania 2020-2025) 19
Electricity Consumption 19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Romania 2014-2019) 20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Romania 2020-2025) 21
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 21
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Romania 2014-2019) 22
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Romania 2020-2025) 22
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Romania 2014-2019) 23
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Romania 2020-2025) 23
Industry Risk Reward Index 24
CEE Power Risk/Reward Index 24
Romania Power Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 30
Market Overview 32
Key Policies And Market Structure 32
Regulation And Competition 32
Sustainable Energy Policies 32
Pricing 33
Romania Power Projects Database 34
Table: Romania Major Projects - Power 34
Competitive Landscape 36
Transelectrica 36
Electrica 36
Termoelectrica 36
Hidroelectica 37
EON 37
Enel 37
Company Profile 39
Hidroelectrica 39
Regional Overview 42
Europe - CEE Power: Affordable Coal To Trump Renewables 42
Table: Turkey - Ambitious Renewables Targets 44
Glossary 46
Table: Glossary Of Terms 46
Methodology 47
Methodology And Sources 47
Industry Forecast Methodology 47
Sources 50
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 50
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 52

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