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  5. > Hong Kong Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

Hong Kong Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 54 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Plans for a LNG import terminal will pose upside risk to Hong Kong's rising natural gasconsumption. Increases in vehicle population and air traffic will sustain the uptrend in Hong Kong's refinedfuels demand, although growth will remain stunted until 2016, due to a weaker economic outlook.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

-CLP Power's plan to build Hong Kong's first LNG import terminal will complement the city's piped gasimports from mainland China, posing upside risks to our gas consumption forecast for Hong Kong.

-The project will give the government flexibility to aggressively increase the share of natural gas in theenergy mix in an economical way and also allow for supply diversification.

-Hong Kong's near-term demand for refined fuels will remain stunted due to a weaker economic outlookover 2014-2016. Increases in vehicle population and air traffic will sustain the uptrend in refined fuelsdemand.

-Costlier vehicle financing, a cooling property market and the slowing Chinese economy pose downsiderisks to our forecast. These factors may dampen the demand for new vehicles and air travel, therebyweakening demand for refined fuels.

-Over the longer term, policies that encourage purchase of cleaner and more fuel efficient vehicles willmoderate the increase in refined fuel demand beyond 2020. For instance, the number of electric vehicleson the roads has grown exponentially due to financial incentives and rapid deployment of charginginfrastructure.

Table Of Contents

Hong Kong Oil and Gas Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Hong Kong 2014-2020) 7
Latest Updates And Key Forecasts 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Upstream Production - Oil 9
Table: Oil Production (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 9
Table: Oil Production (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 9
Upstream Production - Gas 10
Table: Gas Production (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 10
Table: Gas Production (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 10
Refining 11
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 11
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 11
Refined Fuels Consumption 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 17
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 17
Gas Consumption 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Existing And Proposed Fuel Mix 19
Table: Gas Consumption (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 20
Table: Gas Consumption (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 20
Trade - Oil 21
Crude Oil Trade Forecast 21
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Hong Kong 2014-2020) 21
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 21
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 23
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 23
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Gas Net Exports (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 26
Table: Gas Net Exports (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 26
Industry Risk Reward Index 27
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 28
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Production Cuts Reinforce Bearish Outlook 29
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 30
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Refinery Developments Lift Scores For Malaysia And The Philippines 31
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 32
Hong Kong - Risk/Reward Index 33
Hong Kong Upstream Index - Overview 33
Hong Kong Upstream Index - Rewards 33
Hong Kong Upstream Index - Risks 33
Hong Kong Downstream Index - Overview 33
Market Overview 34
Hong Kong Energy Market Overview 34
Regulatory Structure 34
Table: Hong Kong - Key Taxes 35
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 36
Service Stations 36
Oil Storage And Terminals 36
Gas Pipelines 36
Competitive Landscape 37
Competitive Landscape Summary 37
Table: Key Players - Hong Kong Oil and Gas Sector 38
Table: Key Downstream Players 38
Regional Overview 39
Asia Regional Overview 39
Glossary 47
Table: Glossary Of Terms 47
Methodology 49
Industry Forecast Methodology 49
Source 51
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 51
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 53
Table: Weighting 54

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