Czech Republic Freight Transport Report Q3 2014

  • June 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 88 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View: Following a year in which BMI believes saw mixed growth dynamics in different freight
transport modes, 2014 will signal increasing volumes across the whole sector in line with improving
economic outlook.
Total trade is projected to pick up with our Country Risk desk forecasting a y-o-y increase of 2.33% in 2014
following a growth of 0.31% in 2013.
Road freight is to continue to dominate the sector and is projected to grow by 2% in 2014. The mode,
however, did not manage to defy the downturn and the European Union (EU) pledges of a decrease in road
haulage across the region, with freight volumes expected to remain well below its 2007 level.
BMI notes that rail is the likeliest candidate in Czech Republic's freight transport mix to benefit from any
diversification away from road.

Table Of Contents

Czech Republic Freight Transport Report Q3 2014
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Freight Transport .. 9
Political . 10
Economic ... 11
Business Environment .. 12
Industry Forecast .. 13
Road Freight 14
Table: Road Freight (Czech Republic 2011-2018) . . 16
Rail Freight . 16
Table: Rail Freight (Czech Republic 2011-2018) 17
Inland Waterway Freight . 17
Table: Inland Waterway Freight (Czech Republic 2011-2018) . 17
Air .. 18
Table: Air Freight (Czech Republic 2011-2018) . 18
Trade ... 18
Table: Trade Overview (Czech Republic 2011-2018) . . 18
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Czech Republic 2011-2018) 19
Table: Top Import Destinations 20
Table: Top Export Destinations 21
Market Overview ... 22
Industry Trends And Developments 27
Rail Freight .. 27
Company Profile 28
Czech Airlines Cargo ... 28
AWT Group 31
?D Cargo .. 34
Political Outlook 37
Domestic Politics . 37
Table: Czech Republic: Political Overview 39
Long-Term Political Outlook . 40
Oil Price Outlook ... 50
Bunker Fuel 50
Table: BMI Crude Oil and Bunker Fuel Price Forecast (USD/bbl) . . 50
The Storm Clears For Shipping . 51
(Slightly) Better Times For Bunker Prices ... 53
Long-Term Threats Linger ... 54
Pressing Rotterdam and New York Harder 56
Risks To Outlook 56
Jet Fuel . 57
Table: BMI Crude Oil and Jet Fuel Price Forecast, USD/bbl . 57
Better Outlook Tames Price Fall ... 57
Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volume Growth . 59
Risks To Outlook 62
Diesel 63
Table: BMI Crude Oil And Diesel Price Forecast (USD/bbl) 63
New York's One-Off Heat Up 63
NY: Short-Term Diesel Price Support Expected ... 66
Rotterdam: Green Policies Drive Diesel Forward 70
Singapore: Diesel Support With Power Risks ... 72
Risks To Outlook 76
Macroeconomic Forecasts ... 77
Table: Czech Republic - Economic Activity 81
Demographic Forecast . 82
Table: The Czech Republic's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 83
Table: The Czech Republic's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 84
Table: The Czech Republic's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 85
Table: The Czech Republic's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 85
Methodology .. 86
Industry Forecast Methodology 86
Sector-Specific Methodology 87
Sources 88

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