Czech Republic Freight Transport Industry Update Quarter 3 2012

  • June 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 88 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Following a year in which BMI believes the recovery began in Czech Republic's main freight mode – road freight – and increasing volumes in all other freight modes, 2012 will signal further growth across the whole freight transport segment .
Total trade is projected to pick up with our Country Risk desk projecting a year-on-year (y-o-y) increase of 1.69% in 2012, following a growth of 9.3% in 2011.
Road freight should continue to dominate the segment and is projected to grow by 1% in 2012. The segment did not manage to defy the downturn and so far appears to have defied EU pledges of a decrease in road haulage across the region; that is not to say, however, that road freight's industry share is safe. BMI notes that rail is the likeliest candidate in the Czech Republic's freight transport mix to benefit from any diversification away from road.

Headline Market Data
- 2012 Air freight tonnage is expected to grow by 1.1%. - 2012 Rail freight is projection to grow by 2.1%. - 2012 Road freight is projection to grow by 1.03%. - 2012 Inland waterway freight is projection to grow by 2.1%. - 2012 Total real trade growth is projection at 1.7%. Key Market Trends
HHLA Expands Czech Republic Operations Metrans, a rail subsidiary of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (HHLA), is boosting its Central and Eastern European transport network by constructing an additional terminal in the Czech Republic. The facility in ?eská T?ebová will be the second rail container freight hub in the country and is planned to supplement the existing terminal in Prague. Self-Employed Drivers Case Could Be Referred To ECJ The Czech Republic could be referred to the European Court of Justice over its regulation of selfemployed drivers. It is one of seven countries (others include Austria, Finland, France, Poland, Portugal and Spain) that according to the European Commission (EC) failed to apply the Working Time Directive to self-employed drivers. The EC could refer their cases to the European Court of Justice if the countries do not comply with the directive.
Raben Mergers Czech Republic Logistics Assets Raben Group reported that it has completed the process of joining together its Czech industry players after the merger of Raben Logistics Czech and Raben Trans European Czech (known as Wincanton Czech Republic before it was take over d by Raben). From May 2012 the merged industry player operates under the name Raben Logistics Czech. Elbe Navigation To Be Enhanced The building of two locks - at Decín and Prelouc - will be undertaken in a bid to improve navigation on the Czech Republic's waterways.

Risks to Outlook
A more pronounced slowdown in eurozone growth than BMI currently projections, creates considerable downside risks to our projections for Czech Republic's freight transport growth. The country and the segment rely heavily on the external industry for growth, particularly while government expenditure is dragged down by fiscal austerity and as consumers struggle to bounce back from the global recession.
BMI's country risk team has so far downgraded our 2012 real Gross Domestic Product growth projection for Czech Republic to 0.1% from 0.8% previously. The country's reliance on trade and investment with Germany will filter down from slackening export demand to decreasing the Czech Republic's demand for imports, in turn affecting country's freight transport outlook.
Should oil prices remain at elevated levels or experience a significant increase during 2012, a number of our projections for the Czech economy would likely be put under review, including our projections for economic growth and consumer price inflation further affecting the outlook for freight transport.

Table Of Contents

Executive Summary . 4
Industry SWOT Analysis 6
Czech Republic Freight Transport SWOT .. 6
Czech Republic Political Environment and Risk Analysis . 7
Czech Republic Economic Environment and Risk Analysis .. 8
Czech Republic Business Environment SWOT ... 8
Industry Trends And Developments .. 9
Rail 9
Road ... 9
Inland Waterways 10
Intermodal And Logistics . 10

Industry Analysis 11

Market Projection ... 15
Air 15
Data : Air Freight, from 2008 to 2016 . 15
Rail .. 15
Data : Rail Freight, from 2008 to 2016 ... 15
Road . 16
Data : Road Freight, from 2007 to 2016 .. 16
Inland Waterway .. 16
Data : Inland Waterway Freight, from 2008 to 2016 ... 16
Trade 17
Data : Trade Overview, from 2008 to 2016 . 17
Data : Key Trade Indicators, from 2008 to 2016 . 17
Data : Czech Republic's Main Import Partners, from 2002 to 2009 (US$mn) . 18
Data : The Czech Republic's Main Export Partners, from 2002 to 2009 (US$mn) .. 19
World Oil Products Price Outlook ... 20
Data : BMI's Refined Products Projections, from 2010 to 2016 . 20
Political Outlook 28

Macroeconomic Data ... 30
Data : Czech Republic - Economic Activity, from 2011 to 2016 .. 32
Company Profiles .. 33
Czech Airlines Cargo ... 33
AWT ?echofracht . 35
?D Cargo 37
Country Snapshot: Czech Republic Demographic Data ... 39
Data : The Czech Republic's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . 40
Data : The Czech Republic's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 41
Data : The Czech Republic's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 42
Data : The Czech Republic's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 .. 42
BMI Methodology ... 43
How We Generate Our Market Projections .. 43
Transport Market ... 43
Sources 44

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