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Slovenia Insurance Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We retain a broadly positive outlook for the Slovenian insurance market as a whole. Althoughcomparatively smaller, the life insurance sector is poised to grow steadily at a strong annual rate over thecourse of our forecast period. Bolstered by supportive demographic trends and rising disposable householdincomes, we believe that the life sector growth will outpace non-life growth out to 2020. The significantlylarger and more developed non-life sector is expected to see slower growth, led by dominant lines such asmotor, property and health insurances.

Key Updates And Forecasts

- We are currently forecasting steady economic growth in Slovenia, with GDP growth expected to remainover 2.5% annually over the medium term. We do note, however, that the ongoing migrant crisis couldimpact this outlook, both due to associated costs and due to a deterioration in regional relations. Shouldeconomic growth slow, we would revisit a range of forecasts, including those for the insurance sector.

- Our forecasts for the Slovenian non-life sector see premiums growing by an annual average of 3.8% inlocal currency terms between 2016 and 2020. In US dollar terms, growth is more varied due to ongoingcurrency fluctuations. Overall, we expect non-life premiums to increase from USD1.6bn in 2016 toUSD2.1bn in 2020.

- The life insurance market is considerably smaller, writing premiums of just above USD600mn in 2016.We do expect to see stronger annual growth over the course of the forecast period, however, at 9.2% inUS dollar terms, as the life sector continues to challenge conventional savings products. As a result,premiums are forecast to reach USD915mn in 2020.

Table Of Contents

Slovenia Insurance Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Headline Insurance Forecasts (Slovenia 2013-2020) 5
SWOT 6
Insurance 6
Industry Forecast 8
Life Premiums Forecast 8
Table: Life Premiums (Slovenia 2013-2020) 11
Table: Life Insurance Claims (Slovenia 2008-2014) 12
Non-Life Premiums Forecast 12
Table: Non-Life Premiums (Slovenia 2013-2020) 15
Table: Non-Life Insurance Claims (Slovenia 2009-2014) 17
Non-Life Sub-Sector Forecast 17
Table: Non-Life Insurance Premiums by Product Line (Slovenia 2013-2020) 26
Insurance Risk/Reward Index 27
Emerging Europe Risk/Reward Index 27
Table: Emerging Europe Insurance Risk/Reward Index - Q316 28
Market Overview 29
Life Market Overview 29
The Product Offering 29
The Competitive Landscape 29
Table: Slovenia Life Insurance Market (USDmn) 2008-2014 31
Non-Life Market Overview 32
The Product Offering 33
The Competitive Landscape 33
Table: Slovenia Non-Life Insurance Market (USDmn) 2008-2014 35
Company Profile 37
Generali 37
Vienna Insurance Group (VIG) 40
Zavarovalnica Triglav 43
Methodology 46
Industry Forecast Methodology 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 49
Table: Indicators 51
Table: Weighting of Indicators 52

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