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Bulgaria Retail Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

BMI View:

Despite a relatively slow catch up with the rest of the EU, Bulgaria's economy is growing its appeal to foreign retailers. International discounters are strengthening their presence in a relatively pricesensitive country; however, new entrances are infrequent. Strong growth in tourism will give a boost to retailers in 2016 as both Western and Eastern European middle-income households travel to the country; the Bulgarian households will increase consumption later into forecast period as the situation in labour market becomes more favourable boosting employment and incomes.


Key Views & Developments
- Bulgaria's Commission for Protection of Competition continues to improve business environment for retailers: the watchdog fined the leading online retailer eMag for unfair advertising practices and launched a probe into a possible cartel agreement between Kaufland, Lidl, Billa and Metro Cash & Carry.

Table Of Contents

Bulgaria Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Headline Retail Forecast .. 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Bulgaria 2013-2020) . 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sector Forecast .. 19
Food, Drink and Tobacco .. 20
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 20
Clothing and Footwear .. 21
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020) . 22
Household Goods ... 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020) . 23
Household Numbers And Income Forecast ... 24
Table: Household Income Data (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 25
Table: Labour Market Data (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 27
Demographic Forecast . 29
Table: Total Population (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Babies (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Children (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Children (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young People (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Bulgaria 2013-2020) . 33
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Bulgaria 2013-2020) . 33
Table: Population: Young Adults (Bulgaria 2013-2020) . 34
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Bulgaria 2013-2020) . 34
Table: Population: Urban (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 34
Industry Risk/Reward Index . 35
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 35
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 . 35
Bulgaria Risk/Reward Index .. 36
Rewards ... 36
Risks 37
Market Overview ... 39
Competitive Landscape 42
Clothing and Footwear .. 42
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 42
Household Goods ... 43
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 43
Electronics ... 44
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers . 44
Department Stores .. 44
Table: Selected Department Stores Retailers . 44
E-Commerce . 44
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers . 45
Pharmacies ... 45
Table: Selected Pharmacies Retailers 45
Glossary . 46
Methodology .. 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 56
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 59

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