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Hungary Retail Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: There is little change in our view that household incomes, employment levels and spending willrise during 2016, leading to increased retail spending. While consumer confidence levels fell in Februaryand then again in March, they remain high overall, and together with extremely low inflation rates weexpect to see strong spending growth for the remainder of the year.

Key Views & Developments

- According to Hungary's Central Statistical Office, total retail sales increased by 6.4% year-on-year (y-oy)in February 2016. Non-food retail sales growth was 7.5%, outperforming food retail sales growth of4.9%. This was the biggest increase in retail growth rates since July 2015.

- Inflation in Hungary returned to negative territory in March 2016 falling 0.2% according to data releasedby the country's Central Statistical Office. The fall was attributed mainly to a 14.8% reduction in the costof motor fuels. Food prices rose 0.7% y-o-y during the month. Prices of clothing and footwear increasedby 0.4% y-o-y in November, while prices of consumer durables rose 1.7% y-o-y.

Table Of Contents

Hungary Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 12
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Hungary 2013-2020) 13
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 15
Retail Sector Forecast 17
Food and Drink 18
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 18
Clothing and Footwear 19
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 19
Household Goods 20
Table: Household Goods Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 20
Personal Care and Effects 21
Table: Personal Care Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 21
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 22
Table: Household Income Data (Hungary 2013-2020) 24
Table: Labour Market Data (Hungary 2013-2020) 26
Demographic Forecast 26
Table: Total Population (Hungary 2013-2020) 28
Table: Population: Babies (Hungary 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Young Children (Hungary 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Children (Hungary 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Hungary 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Young People (Hungary 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Hungary 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Hungary 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Adults (Hungary 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Hungary 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Urban (Hungary 2013-2020) 32
Industry Risk/Reward Index 33
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 33
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 33
Hungary - Risk/Reward Index 34
Rewards 34
Risks 35
Market Overview 37
Competitive Landscape 42
Clothing and Footwear 42
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 42
Household Goods 43
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 43
Electronics 43
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 43
Department Stores 44
Table: Selected Department Stores Retailers 44
E-commerce 44
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers 44
Pharmacies 45
Table: Selected Pharmacies Retailers 45
Glossary 46
Methodology 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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