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Romania Retail Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The key indicators for Romania's retail market all reflect positive growth trends over theforecast period, with rapid economic expansion in the country supporting steady gains in averagehousehold income rates which in turn will stimulate higher rates of spending in a number of retail sectors.Despite this positive growth, we do note that income levels remain well below the averages seen indeveloped Western Europe markets, which will undermine the potential for growth in non-essential sectors.There is also some longer-term risk from the high rate of emigration which is resulting in the shrinkage ofthe Romanian population and therefore potential consumer market - though this trend is somewhat offset bygains in urbanisation and income levels.

Key Views And Developments

- Romania is expected to record the second fastest GDP growth among the EU states over the mediumterm, expanding by close to 4% annually between 2016 and 2020. Along with improving labour marketconditions and increases to national minimum wages levels and public sector pay, this will drive steadygains in average household income rates.

Table Of Contents

Romania Retail Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Romania 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Romania 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 18
Food and Drinks 20
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 21
Clothing and Footwear 21
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 22
Household Goods 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 23
Personal Care and Effects 24
Table: Personal Care Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 24
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 25
Table: Household Income Data (Romania 2013-2020) 27
Table: Labour Market Data (Romania 2013-2020) 29
Demographic Forecast 30
Table: Total Population (Romania 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Babies (Romania 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Children (Romania 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Children (Romania 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Romania 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young People (Romania 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Romania 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Romania 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Adults (Romania 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Romania 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Urban (Romania 2013-2020) 36
Industry Risk/Reward Index 37
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316 37
Romania Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 39
Market Overview 41
Competitive Landscape 46
Department Stores 46
Table: Selected Department Store Retailers 46
Clothing and Footwear 47
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 47
Household Goods 47
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 47
Electronics 48
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 48
E-commerce 48
Table: Selected e-commerce Retailers 48
Pharmacies 49
Table: Selected Pharmacies Retailers 49
Glossary 50
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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