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  4. > United Arab Emirates Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

United Arab Emirates Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 85 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

United Arab Emirates Commercial Banking Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, March 2016 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Overseas To Become Key Growth Driver 17
Basel III Compliance In 2018 18
Table: UAE - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot 19
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 20
Table: Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 21
Market Overview 22
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Outlook 22
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 22
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 23
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (USDbn) 24
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 25
Economic Analysis 26
Competitive Landscape 30
Market Structure 30
Protagonists 30
Table: Protagonists In The UAE's Commercial Banking Sector 30
Definition of The Commercial Banking Universe 31
List Of Banks 31
Table: Full EBA Members 31
Table: EBA Associate Members 32
Company Profile 33
Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank 33
Table: Stock Market Indicators 35
Table: Balance Sheet (AEDmn) 35
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 35
Table: Key Ratios (%) 36
Commercial Bank of Dubai 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators 39
Table: Balance Sheet (AEDmn) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 40
Table: Key Ratios (%) 40
Dubai Islamic Bank 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Balance Sheet (AEDmn) 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
Emirates NBD 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (AEDmn) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 48
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
First Gulf Bank 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators 50
Table: Balance Sheet (AEDmn) 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) 51
Union National Bank 52
Table: Stock Market Indicators 54
Table: Balance Sheet (AEDmn) 55
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 55
Table: Key Ratios (%) 55
Regional Overview 56
Middle East Overview 56
Iran Offers Opportunities 60
Islamic Banking 62
Recent Developments 63
Global Industry Overview 64
Industry Forecast 64
The Reserves Penalty 64
Mixed Results So Far 67
Not Far Enough, Or Too Far Already? 72
In The End, Negative Rates Unlikely To Become Much More Prevalent 73
Table: Negative Interest Rates - Summary 75
Demographic Forecast 76
Demographic Outlook 76
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 77
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 77
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025) 79
Methodology 81
Industry Forecast Methodology 81
Sector-Specific Methodology 82
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 83
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 84
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 85

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