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European Parcels Market Insight Report 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Apex Insight
  • -
  • 135 pages

- The parcels market has continued to grow in most countries in spite of the recession. A key factor has been the growth of home shopping.
- This has acted as a spur to innovation – in promoting the development of processes to improve the delivery experience, from defined time-slots, to text messages to the establishment of chains of parcel shops.
- Home shopping growth looks set to continue, creating further opportunities for those companies which are able to deliver the quality and range of services that the market requires.
- In this environment industry consolidation has continued with the major networks continuing to make add-on acquisitions to fill geographical and service gaps – although the EU acted to prevent the major deal that was recently in prospect: UPS’s proposed acquisition of TNT, on competition grounds.
- European Parcels: Market Insight Report provides an analytical overview of the European Parcels market. It attempts to portray accurately the market structure, size, growth, trends and competitive landscape.
- The report builds upon:
o Apex Insight’s published analysis on the UK parcels market and in adjacent logistics markets
o Our consulting work in the industry which has included advising on market and strategic issues and the attractiveness of parcel company acquisitions
What does the report cover?
- The report covers 8 main countries in depth: Germany, UK, France, Spain, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium and Poland.
o These markets represent 75% of European GDP and, according to our market model, 78% of total parcels revenues.
- The other countries included in Apex Insight's market model are Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Austria, Denmark, Greece, Finland, Portugal, Ireland, Czech Republic, Romania, Hungary, Slovak Republic, Croatia, Bulgaria, Slovenia, Serbia, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Iceland, Albania, FYR Macedonia, Malta and Montenegro. The analysis excludes Russia and Turkey.
- The definition of the parcels market includes domestic, intra-European and international parcels. It also includes business-to-business, business-to-consumer and consumer consigned parcels. Parcel weight definitions vary, between operators and countries, but most describe parcels up to various weights approaching 31.5 kg. All service levels are included (time definite and deferred). Adjacent services, such as mail, pallet distribution, groupage, freight forwarding, sameday courier and contract logistics are excluded.
What is the methodology?
- The main sources for the report are
o Extensive desk research on the parcels market and its operators covering company accounts, websites and other sources
o Published information on key market drivers such as economic data and estimates of home shopping levels and practices
o Interviews with senior-level contacts in the market
- The key input to our market size estimates is a bottom-up analysis of the revenues of the parcel companies we have identified as operating in each of the main countries covered. Adjustments have been made to compensate for missing data and to reflect the extent to which these companies are involved in other logistics activities in addition to parcels.
- We have used this data as the basis on which to construct our market model.
o The model produces historical and forecast growth estimates covering the period from 2008-2018 which are based on trends in company revenue and drivers such as economic performance and levels and patterns of home shopping.
o The main model inputs and assumptions are discussed in detail in the report.
Who is it useful for?
- The report is intended for:
o Owners and operators of parcel networks
o Customers of those networks, in particular, retailers who sell via the internet
o Investors in these businesses
o Market regulators and policymakers
o Banks, analysts, consultants and other parties with interests in the sector

Table Of Contents

European Parcels Market Insight Report 2015
Introduction 2
About Apex Insight

European Parcels Market Background 16
Market definition
Characteristics of the market
Business vs consumer delivery segmentation
Other segmentations of the market
Premium / economy
International / domestic

Market Trends 18
Growth of internet shopping and home delivery
Customer Service Enhancements
Local Collection Points, Parcel Shops and Locker Networks
Mergers and Acquisitions

Market Size and Growth 23
Parcels market size
Economic performance and impact on parcels markets
Impact of internet retail market growth on parcels markets

Competitive Landscape 28
Types of Parcels Carriers
Post offices
European networks
Market shares

Profiles 32
UPS in Europe
Deutsche Post / DHL
TNT Express
Royal Mail / General Logistics Systems
La Poste / GeoPost
Amazon Logistics

Other Networks 52
Net Express Europe
GO! (General Overnight)
Logistics World Alliance
System Alliance Europe

Germany 55
Market Size and Growth
Germany - Competitor Analysis
- Deutsche Post / DHL
- UPS Germany
- GLS Germany
- DPD GeoPost (Deutschland)
- Hermes Logistik Gruppe
- FedEx Germany
- TNT Express
Germany - Parcels Market Forecast

France 64
Market Size and Growth
France - Competitor Analysis
- La Poste (Coliposte, Chronopost, Exapaq)
- SNCF Geodis
- UPS France
- TNT Express
- FedEx
- DHL International Express (France) SAS
- General Logistics Systems France SAS
- Mory Global (previously Mory Duchros)
- Heppner Transport and Logistics Group
- Colis Prive
France - Parcels Market Forecast

UK 74
Market Size and Growth
UK - Competitor Analysis
- Royal Mail
- TNT Express
- GeoPost UK (DPD + Interlink)
- Yodel
- CityLink
- Hermes
- FedEx UK
- UK Mail
- Amazon Logistics
UK - Parcels Market Forecast

Italy 83
Market Size and Growth
Italy - Competitor Analysis
- Poste Italiane / SDA Express Courier
- FedEx
- Hermes Italia SpA
- GLS Italy
- United Parcel Service Italia Srl
- DHL Express (Italy) Srl
Italy - Parcels Market Forecast

Spain 92
Market Size and Growth
Spain - Competitor Analysis
- DHL Express
- United Parcel Service España Ltd y Compañía, S.R.C.
- Grupo Correos
- Transporte Integral De Paquetería, S.A. (TIPSA)
- GLS Spain
- TNT Express
- SEUR Geopost Sl
- FedEx
Spain - Parcels Market Forecast

Netherlands 100
Market Size and Growth
Netherlands - Competitor Analysis
- PostNL
- TNT Express Netherland B.V.
- United Parcel Service Netherland B.V.
- Deutsche Post / DHL
- GLS Netherlands Holding B.V.
- Fedex Express
Netherlands - Parcels Market Forecast

Poland 107
Market Size and Growth
Poland - Competitor Analysis
- UPS Polska Sp z.o.o
- DHL Express (Poland) Sp z.o.o
- Poczta Polska S.A.
- Fedex Express Polska Sp z.o.o
- DPD Polska Sp. z.o.o.
- InPost Nowoczesna Poczta sp. z.o.o.
- General Logistics Systems Poland Sp z.o.o
- TNT Express Worldwide Poland Sp z.o.o
- K Ex Sp z.o.o.
Poland - Parcels Market Forecast 113

Belgium 115
Market Size and Growth
Belgium - Competitor Analysis
- bpost
- TNT Express Belgium
- United Parcel Service Belgium
- Deutsche Post / DHL
- DPD Belgium
- General Logistics Systems Belgium
- Fedex Express Europe Inc. and Co.
Belgium - Parcels Market Forecast

Other Europe 123
Market Size and Growth
Other Europe - Parcels Market Forecast

Forecasts 128
Economic growth forecasts
Internet retail forecasts
Parcels market forecast
Implications for parcels networks
Risks to the forecast

Appendix 135

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