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2014 Global Powertrain Outlook

  • March 2014
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 91 pages

In view of the recently adopted and upcoming emission norms in all key global automotive markets, the passenger-vehicle powertrain landscape is set to witness a change in OEM strategies and technology adoption. The 2014 global powertrain study begins by presenting the top powertrain market predictions for 2014, including the decline of diesel market share in Europe, after which the top highlights of 2013 are discussed. The study continues with detailed powertrain unit forecasts by OEM/powertrain mix in key global markets and also provides technology forecasts for 2014. The research covers the key powertrain product introductions for 2014 before discussing conclusions and presenting the future outlook.

Top 6 Predictions of 2014

Year of High Speed Transmissions

Global OEMs* are adopting high-speed transmissions as a means of enhancing fuel economy. In 2014, the global unit shipment for 8-, 9- and 10-speed transmissions, cumulatively, will reach xx million (e.g., Audi is expected to introduce an 8-speed S-Tronic).

The Comeback of EVs—Especially in the Luxury Vehicle Space

The global market for EVs is expected to grow to over 260,000 units by 2014. The introduction of the BMW i3 in 2013, Tesla’s progress in 2013, and expected vehicles from Porsche and Daimler in 2014 are expected to add to this growth. A total of 4-6 EV launches are expected in 2014.

Diesel Goes Downhill—CNG to Gain

Diesel share in Europe is expected to decline post Euro 6 implementation by about xx- % in 2014.
Compressed natural gas (CNG) is expected to gain market especially in Italy and Germany. OEMs are also looking at home-charging solutions, although these are not likely to enter the market.

World’s First Serial Production of a Fuel Cell Car

A global OEM (Hyundai or Toyota) is expected to serial produce a fuel cell car in 2014, although in limited numbers, about xx- units.

Reduction in Cylinder Count Reaching Limits

2-cylinder engines are expected to be the limit in 2014, and this is expected to be a niche application limited to about xx units, specific to OEM strategies, applicability, and vehicle portfolio.

Euro 7 to Drive OEM Future Powertrain Roadmaps

Every key automotive market has recently witnessed or is preparing to take-up newer, more stringent
emissions norms. The focus on innovation and uptake of exhaust after-treatment technologies is expected
to dominate the global market.

Table Of Contents

2014 Global Powertrain Outlook
Table of Contents

Executive Summary 5
Research Scope and Segmentation 13
Regional Outlook 16
European Powertrain Outlook 18
Brazilian Powertrain Outlook 29
Chinese Powertrain Outlook 33
South Korean Powertrain Outlook 35
ASEAN Powertrain Outlook 38
North American Powertrain Outlook 43
Indian Powertrain Outlook 46
Japanese Powertrain Outlook 49
Other Key Global Markets—Powertrain Outlook 50
2014 Select Technology Outlook 52
Engine Downsizing 56
LPG/CNG Market 57
Contents MA07-18 4
Global 2-Cylinder Engine Outlook 58
Global Transmissions Outlook 61
Global DCT Transmissions Outlook 62
Global High Speed Transmissions Outlook 64
Energy Conservation and Recovery Technologies Outlook 66
Global Gasoline Direct Injection Outlook 67
Global Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Outlook 68
2014 Select Product Introductions 73
Engines 75
Transmissions 78
Hybrids 80
Fuel Cell Vehicles 82
Conclusions and Future Outlook 83
Appendix 86

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