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PESTLE Analysis of Nigeria 2013, January 2014

  • January 2014
  • -
  • Lucintel
  • -
  • 65 pages

Background:

The Nigerian economy is likely to be driven by growth in the telecommunications, building and construction, and hotel & restaurants industries during the forecast period. Recovery of the global economy, particularly European countries would positively impact the Nigerian economy. Oil and gas is one of the major sectors of the country, contributing significantly to total export. Increase in international oil prices would boost the oil and gas sector as well as the economy. The Nigerian economy is likely to grow to $384 billion at the current price by 2018 at a CAGR of 6.8% during 2013-2018.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has conducted a detailed analysis on this economy and presents its findings in “PESTLE Analysis of Nigeria 2013”. The study indicates the social challenges that Nigeria is facing in terms of high unemployment rate, high corruption rate, and high homicide rate (crime rate). The country does not witness much economic risk due to its moderate GDP growth rate, low government debt, and fiscal surplus. The report also highlights the major drivers of the economy.

The telecommunication industry is one of the emerging industries that grew at a CAGR of 34% over the period of 2007-2012, and the contribution surged from 0.02% to 0.8% to GDP over the same period. Construction is another emerging industry with high potential in Nigeria. Expanding population and government policy targeted at boosting the infrastructure are driving the growth of this industry. Expanding urbanization and government plans to fill up the infrastructure gap with public private partnership are providing immense opportunities in this sector for domestic as well as foreign investors.

Lucintel highlights the key challenges that stifle the growth of the Nigerian economy. The country faces social challenges including high corruption rate, inequality of income distribution, and high crime rate. Major social concerns for the country include increasing unemployment rate which will affect the income levels and purchasing power.
This report includes an in-depth analysis of Nigeria including macroeconomy, political scenario, economic and business risks, and social and technological analysis. This report provides knowledge on Nigeria’s leading industries and emerging industries.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. This report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

Features of This Report:

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.
Some of the features of “PESTLE Analysis of Nigeria 2013” include:
- Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision
- Analysis on economic activity, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
- Major industries in Nigeria and its contribution to GPD
- Trends in savings, investments, and consumptions
- Analysis of Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, and Environmental scenarios as well as their impact on different industries
- Analyses on geographical importance and social structure such as labor quality
- Strength, Weakness, Opportunity, and Threat (SWOT) analysis of Nigeria

Table Of Contents

PESTLE Analysis of Nigeria 2013, January 2014
1. Executive Summary
2. Nigeria Political Analysis
2.1: Structure and stability of government
2.2: Government changes and policy stability
2.2.1: Policy Agenda: Reforms and Future Plans
3. Nigeria Economic Analysis
3.1: Sectoral contribution to GDP and GDP growth rate
3.2: Scenario analysis future economic growth scenario of Nigeria
3.3: Pricing trends: recent developments
3.4: Major economic growth drivers: consumption, saving, and investment
3.5; International trade and its contribution to GDP
3.6: Foreign direct investment (FDI)-pattern of investment
4. Nigeria Economic and Business Risk Analysis
4.1: Risk in financial sector
4.1.1: Risk in current account balance
4.1.2; Risk in balance of payment (BOP)
4.1.3: External debt and default risk
4.1.4: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
4.2: Credibility in debt market
4.3: Economic risk factors and their impact on business
5. Nigeria Social Analysis
5.1: Social and demographic analysis
5.2: Labor market quality and availability
5.3: Social development index
6. Nigeria RandD and Technological Factors
6.1: RandD expenditure technological changes
6.2: Impact of technology in industry
6.3: Technology policy
7. Nigeria Legal Analysis
7.1: Corporate law
7.2: Tax law
7.3: Economic policies recent developments
7.4: Doing business in Nigeria 2013 process to establish business
8. Nigeria Environmental Analysis
8.1: Government's action against environmental issues
8.2: Environmental policy
9. SWOT: Search of Potential Opportunity in Nigeria

List of Figures

Chapter 3. Nigeria Economic Analysis
Figure 3.1: Regional economic scenario
Figure 3.2: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: Quarterly trend of index of industrial production and GDP Growth Rate
Figure 3.4: Annual trend of index of industrial production and GDP Growth Rate
Figure 3.5: Trend of per capita income
Figure 3.6: GDP sectoral contribution
Figure 3.7: Share of different sectors to GDP
Figure 3.8: Trend of leading industries in Nigeria
Figure 3.9: Scenario analysis of GDP Forecast
Figure 3.10: Trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 3.11: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.12: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.13: Trend of international trade structure
Figure 3.14: Trend of exports and imports as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.15: FDI inflows by industry
Chapter 4. Nigeria Economic and Business Risk Analysis
Figure 4.1: Trend of current account balance and as percentage of GDP
Figure 4.2: Terms of trade for Nigeria
Figure 4.3: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 4.4: Trend of gross government debt as percentage of GDP
Figure 4.5: Trend of gross government debt
Figure 4.6: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Chapter 5. Nigeria Social Analysis
Figure 5.1: Political map of Nigeria
Figure 5.2: Trend of population and population growth rate in Nigeria
Figure 5.3: Population age structure
Figure 5.4: Trend of unemployment rate in Nigeria
Chapter 6. Nigeria RandD and Technological Factor
Figure 6.1: Trend of RandD expenditure in Nigeria

List of Tables

Chapter 1. Executive Summary
Table 1.1: Factors affecting business in Nigeria
Table 2.1: Political Factors and their Impact on Business
Chapter 3. Nigeria Economic Analysis
Table 3.1: FDI limits by industry
Table 3.2: Economic factors and their impact on business
Chapter 4. Nigeria Economic and Business Risk Analysis
Table 4.1: Credit rating of countries by Moody's, Fitch, and SandP
Table 4.2: Economic risk factors and their impact on business
Chapter 5. Nigeria Social Analysis
Table 5.1: Corruption, GINI, Homicide and Human Development Index
Table 5.2: Social factors and their impact on business
Chapter 6. Nigeria RandD and Technological Factor
Table 6.1: Technological factors and their impact on business
Chapter 7. Nigeria Legal Analysis
Table 7.2: Income tax slab of Nigeria
Table 7.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 7.3: Ranking in 2013 for ease of doing business
Table 7.4: Legal factors and their impact on business
Chapter 8. Nigeria Environmental Analysis
Table 8.1: Environmental factors and their impact on business

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