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Iraq Autos Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 27 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Low base effects will be the key driver of total vehicle sales in Iraq as the ongoing securityinstability continues to dampen private consumption levels resulting in a 2.4% increase in total sales in2016.

Key Views

- We expect a return to positive sales growth in 2016, although this will be a relatively small increase of2.4%.

- It will be 2017 before we see any meaningful acceleration of growth to 5.2%, by which time our CountryRisk team forecasts private final consumption growth to be back at 3.0%.

- The companies that are best placed to weather the storm are Iranian carmakers, such as IKCO andSAIPA, which have the benefit of close proximity to the market without border issues.

Table Of Contents

Iraq Autos Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Key Views 5
SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 7
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Iraq 2014-2020) 7
Latest Developments 7
Table: Latest Developments 7
Structural Trends 7
Iranian Advantage 9
Security Instability Siphoning Potential For Commercial Vehicles 9
Industry Risk/Reward Index 10
GCC Stability Offsets Sales Downgrades 10
Long-Term Potential Comes With Risk 11
Iran The Most Attractive Outlier 11
Company Profile 13
GB Auto 13
State Company For Auto Industry 14
ZamZam Spring Group 15
Regional Overview 16
Table: Middle East And North African Autos Production Investments 16
Iran Already Drawing A Crowd 17
But Iranian Brands Look Elsewhere 17
North African Hub Expanding 18
Demographic Forecast 19
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iraq 1990-2025) 20
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iraq 1990-2025) 20
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Iraq 1990-2025) 21
Table: Population By Age Group (Iraq 1990-2025) 21
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iraq 1990-2025) 22
Methodology 24
Industry Forecasts 24
Sector-Specific Methodology 25
Sources 25
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 26
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 27

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