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Summary
The Future of the Libyan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings
- Over the historic period, the Libyan defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 13.75%, increasing from US$2.5 billion in 2011 to US$4.1 billion in 2015

- The Libyan military expenditure, valued at US$4.1 billion in 2015, is expected to increase to US$6.2 billion by 2020, registering a CAGR of 8.11% over the forecast period

- The Libyan military expenditure will be driven by the efforts to rebuild the armed forces along with the acquisition of advanced defense system to replace aging military equipment

- The Defense Ministry is expected to procure Transport Aircraft, Training and Logistics Support, Transport Helicopters, and Fighters and Multi-role Aircraft

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the Libyan defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- The Libyan defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Libyan defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porter's Five Force analysis of the Libyan defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Libyan defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Libyan defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Libyan defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table Of Contents

Future of the Libyan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020
Table of Contents
1 Introduction
1.1 What is this Report About?
1.2 Definitions
1.3 Summary Methodology
1.4 SDI Terrorism Index
1.5 About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1 Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1 Libyan defense budget anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 8.11% during 2016-2020
3.1.2 Rebuilding of the armed forces and replacing aging military equipment are the major factors driving Libyan defense expenditure
3.2 Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1 The majority of Libya's defense budget is allocated for revenue expenditure
3.2.2 Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to increase during the forecast period
3.3 Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1 Political stalemate and increased terrorism, border security, and internal disputes form the main components of homeland security expenditure
3.3.2 Libya considered as worst effected country due to terror activities
3.3.3 Libya faces significant threat from terrorists
3.4 Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1 Libyan defense budget expected to register growth over the period 2016-2020
3.4.2 Libyan defense expenditure is small compared to the leading spenders
3.4.3 Libya spent over 4.7% of its GDP on defense in 2015
3.4.4 Libya faces "high risk" by acts of terrorism
3.5 Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers
3.5.1 Transport Aircraft
3.5.2 Training and Logistics Support
3.5.3 Transport Helicopters
3.5.4 Fighters and Multi-Role Aircraft
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1 Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1 Defense imports are expected to increase during the forecast period
4.1.2 Russia was the leading supplier of arms to Libya during 2009-2013
4.1.3 Missiles constitute the majority of Libyan arms imports
4.2 Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1 Libyan defense exports market is negligible
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1.1 Bargaining power of supplier: medium to low
5.1.2 Bargaining power of buyer: medium
5.1.3 Barrier to entry: medium
5.1.4 Intensity of rivalry: medium
5.1.5 Threat of substitution: low to medium
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1 Market Regulation
6.1.1 Arms Embargo in Libya
6.1.2 Libya has not disclosed any offset policy
6.2 Market Entry Route
6.2.1 Foreign Military Sale (FMS) is the preferred entry route
6.3 Key Challenges
6.3.1 Underdeveloped domestic industry and internal instability discourages foreign participation
6.3.2 Unemployment and scarcity of skilled labor
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1 Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2 Key Foreign Companies
7.2.1 Lockheed Martin: overview
7.2.2 Lockheed Martin: products and services
7.2.3 Lockheed Martin: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4 Lockheed Martin: alliances
7.2.5 Lockheed Martin: recent contract wins
7.2.6 Finmeccanica: overview
7.2.7 Finmeccanica: products and services
7.2.8 Finmeccanica: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9 Finmeccanica: alliances
7.2.10 Finmeccanica: recent contract wins
7.2.11 Finmeccanica: financial analysis
7.2.12 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - overview
7.2.13 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - major products and services
7.2.14 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.15 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent contract wins
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1 Demographics
8.1.1 Total Rural population
8.1.2 Total urban population
8.1.3 Number of households
8.2 Economic Performance
8.2.1 GDP per capita at constant prices
8.2.2 GDP at current prices (US$ Billion)
8.2.3 Manufacturing output (US$ bn)
8.2.4 Lending Rate
8.2.5 Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.6 Goods imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.7 Services imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.8 Service exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.9 Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billions)
8.2.10 International reserves, including gold (US$ billion)
8.3 Energy and utilities
8.3.1 Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
8.3.2 Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million kW)
8.3.3 Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day)
8.3.4 Total Proven Reserves of Natural Gas
8.4 Mineral
8.4.1 Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ billion)
8.5 Telecommunication
8.5.1 Telephone lines (in mn)
8.5.2 Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people)
9 Appendix
9.1 About SDI
9.2 Disclaimer

List of Tables
Table 1: Libyan Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: Libyan Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: Libyan Defense Expenditure (in LYD Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Libyan Defense Expenditure (in LYD Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Libyan Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 6: Libyan Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 7: Libyan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Table 8: Libyan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Table 9: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table 10: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 11: Lockheed Martin - product focus
Table 12: Lockheed Martin - Alliances
Table 13: Lockheed Martin - Recent Contract Wins
Table 14: Finmeccanica - Product Focus
Table 15: Finmeccanica - Alliances
Table 16: Finmeccanica- Recent Contract Wins
Table 17: KBP Instrument Design Bureau - Major Products and Services
Table 18: KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent contract wins

List of Figures
Figure 1: Libyan Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 2: Libyan Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Figure 3: Libyan Defense Expenditure (in LYD Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 4: Libyan Defense Expenditure (in LYD Billion), 2016-2020
Figure 5: Libyan Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Figure 6: Libyan Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Figure 7: Libyan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Figure 8: Libyan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Figure 9: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2015
Figure 10: SDI Terrorism Index, 2015
Figure 11: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Figure 12: Benchmarking with World's Largest Defense Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015 and 2020
Figure 13: Benchmarking with Large Defense Spenders as % of GDP - 2015
Figure 15: Libyan Defense Imports (US$ million), 2009-2013
Figure 16: Libyan Defense Imports by Country (%), 2009-2013
Figure 17: Libyan Defense Imports by Category, 2009-2013
Figure 18: Libyan Defense Exports (US$ million), 2009-2013
Figure 19: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 20: Finmeccanica- Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2009-2013
Figure 21: Finmeccanica- Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2009-2013
Figure 22: Finmeccanica- Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2009-2013
Figure 23: Libyan Rural population (In million), 2013-2022
Figure 24: Libyan Urban population (In million), 2013-2022
Figure 25: Libya- Number of Households (Million), 2008-2017
Figure 26: Libyan GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2011-2020
Figure 27: Libyan GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2011-2020
Figure 28: Libyan Manufacturing output (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 29: Libyan Lending Rate, 2002-2011
Figure 30: Libya- Goods exports as a % of GDP (%), 2000-2009
Figure 31: Libya- Goods imports as a % of GDP (%), 2000-2009
Figure 32: Libyan Services imports as a % of GDP (%), 2000-2009
Figure 33: Libyan Service exports as a % of GDP (%), 2000-2009
Figure 34: Libya- Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billion), 2001-2010
Figure 35: Libyan International reserves, including gold (US$ billion), 2002-2011
Figure 36: Libyan Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2001-2010
Figure 37: Libyan Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001-2010
Figure 38: Libyan Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003-2012
Figure 39: Total Proved Reserves of Natural Gas(Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004-2013
Figure 40: Libyan Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ billion), 2002-2011
Figure 41: Libyan Telephone lines, 2003-2012
Figure 42: Libyan Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people), 2003-2012

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