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China Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 113 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: While China's construction sector will continue to slow over the coming years, this will notcause a sharp collapse in large-scale spending on projects, with the government relying on investment ininfrastructure to prop up growth rates. Railways, airports and water infrastructure will remain the keydrivers of growth supported by the 13th Five-Year Plan.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We forecast China's construction sector to grow by an annual average of 4.2% between 2016 and 2025 inreal terms, a significant slowdown from the 11.6% registered between 2006 and 2015.

- Railways infrastructure will record strongest growth in 2016, reaching 8% as railway projects are gainingtraction. Airports also remain high on the government's agenda, which is reflected in our bullish airportsinfrastructure value forecasts.

- Growth in China's energy and utilities sector will be driven by coal-fired power plants and waterinfrastructure. While the pipeline of coal-fired power plants in China remains substantial, it will slowlydecrease over the long term. This progressive decrease will be due to policy changes by the governmentto curb the excessive build-up of coal-fired power generation, and gas price reforms. Water infrastructurewill register strongest growth over our five-year forecast period, with many projects gaining traction.

- We maintain our view that strengthening of property prices will not be sustainable over the long term andoversupply issues, tightening credit conditions and property tax reforms will eventually weigh onresidential construction.

Table Of Contents

China Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (China 2015-2025) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (China 2016-2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
China - 13th Five-Year Plan: Innovation And Green Tech Prominent In Infrastructure 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 19
Latest Updates 19
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (China 2015-2025) 19
Structural Trends 20
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (China 2015-2025) 25
Structural Trends 26
Table: China: Top Five Transport Projects 32
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 33
Latest Updates 33
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (China 2016-2026) 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities 48
Residential/Non Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 49
Latest Updates 49
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (China 2016-2026) 49
Structural Trends 50
2016-2025: Growth to Moderate 50
Table: Cities Continue To See House Prices Increases 52
Table: Changes To Property Taxes 52
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure 56
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 57
China - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 57
Risk/Reward Index 57
Rewards 57
Risks 58
APAC Infrastructure RRI: Affirming A Benign 2016 Outlook 59
Table: Asia Risk/Reward Index 65
Market Overview 66
Competitive Landscape 66
Table: Regional Breakdown 71
Table: Policy Developments 73
Table: City Cluster Breakdown 73
Table: Key Financial Company Data 74
Company Profile 75
Sinohydro 75
China Communications Construction 79
Shanghai Construction Group 83
China Railway Group 86
China Railway Construction Corporation 90
13th Five-Year Plan 95
13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points 95
Summary Of Contents 95
Chapter 1: Overview 96
Table: Targets 96
Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development 97
Chapter 3: Economic Institutions 98
Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector 99
Chapter 5: Industries 100
Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy 101
Chapter 7: Build A Modern Infrastructure Network 101
Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation 102
Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development 103
Chapter 10: Environmental Protection 104
Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up 104
Others: 104
Methodology 106
Industry Forecast Methodology 106
Sector-Specific Methodology 107
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 111
Sector-Specific Methodology 112
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 112
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 113

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