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  4. > China Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

China Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 99 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

China continues to be the motor of the global petrochemicals market. However, economic and regulatorypressures will have a bearing on growth in the near to medium term, particularly in relation to stresses inthe construction sector, which is one of the main consumers of petrochemicals. While the country willremain the biggest contributor to ethylene demand and supply globally, low oil prices cast doubt on themassive coal-based growth, which no longer makes economic sense.Chinese petrochemicals output rose in the first four months of 2016 with ethylene output up 12.3% y-o-y to6.23mn tonnes and primary plastic production rising 9.7% y-o-y to 26mn tonnes. Plastic product volumesgrew 7.3% y-o-y to 23mn tonnes. Although petrochemicals output is rising, capacity utilisation for coalbasedpolyethylene (PE) producers is likely to remain low at 65-70% in 2016, down from over 80% in2015. Meanwhile, China's polypropylene (PP) operating rate was around 75% by Q216.The rebalancing of China's economy away from fixed asset investment and towards private consumptionwill significantly drag on demand growth for construction-related materials. PVC will be particularlyaffected given its heavy exposure to the construction sector, while slowing automotive output growth willhit engineering plastics, particularly PP, as well as synthetic rubber and polyurethanes.

Table Of Contents

China Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economy 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Table: China's Petrochemicals Sector ('000 tpa, unless otherwise stated), 2012-2020 19
Macroeconomic Forecasts 20
On The Brink: Five Scenarios For Chinese Growth 20
Industry Risk/Reward Index 27
Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 27
Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Ranking 29
Market Overview 31
Industry Trends And Developments 35
Table: New China Coal-to-Olefins and Methanol-to-Olefins Plants in 2016 39
Table: Conventional Cracker Projects, 2016-2020 40
Upstream And Refining 42
Table: Refineries In China With Over 200,000b/d Capacity 44
Aromatics And Derivatives 52
Company Profile 53
China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) 53
PetroChina 57
Table: PetroChina Financial Results (CNYmn) 60
Regional Overview 61
Asia Overview 61
Global Industry Overview 71
13th Five-Year Plan 78
13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points 78
Summary Of Contents 78
Chapter 1: Overview 79
Table: Targets 79
Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development 80
Chapter 3: Economic Institutions 81
Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector 82
Chapter 5: Industries 83
Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy 84
Chapter 7: Build A Modern Infrastructure Network 84
Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation 85
Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development 86
Chapter 10: Environmental Protection 87
Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up 87
Others: 87
Demographic Forecast 89
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025) 90
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025) 90
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025) 91
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025) 91
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025) 92
Glossary 94
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 94
Methodology 95
Industry Forecast Methodology 95
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 97
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 98
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 99

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